Semi-Annual Review of FBM KLCI : RHB Research Market Strategy

The research house has published its latest Market Strategy for its FBM KLCI Semi-Annual Review.

Inari Amertron (Inari) out, Westports in. The forthcoming FBM KLCI semi-annual review will be announced by FTSE Russell on 2 Jun, with results taking effect on 17 Jun, based on the rankings of eligible securities at the close of business on 23 May. Based on the most recent market cap rankings, Inari will likely drop out of the component stock list, having fallen to no. 37. It will be replaced by Westports, the highest ranked, eligible non-component stock.

Inari does not meet market capitalisation rankings test. According to the ground rules of the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Index Series, a security would be deleted if its market cap ranking among eligible securities drops to 36th or lower. A security would be inserted into the FBM KLCI at the periodic review if its ranking by full market value rises to 25th or higher. Inari now ranks no. 37 with a MYR1.4bn differential in market capitalisation between it and the 35th ranked stock.

Westports in. While Hap Seng is the highest ranked non-component stock at no. 24, it does not meet the liquidity test for re-inclusion. A non-constituent stock that does not turn over at least 0.05% of its shares in issue (after the application of any investability weightings based on its median daily trading volume per month) for at least 10 of the 12 months prior to the semi-annual review will not be eligible for inclusion. Hap Seng was removed from the list of constituent stocks in the Dec 2021 review. Westports is the next highest ranked non-component stock, and passes the liquidity test. The second lowest ranked component stock by market cap is Top Glove at no. 31 that still has a MYR2bn market cap buffer between it and the 36th ranked stock. A fall in Top Glove’s market price by 25 sen or more could put the stock at risk of dropping out of the index.

Reserve list. We expect the revised FBM KLCI reserve list, comprising the five highest-ranking non constituents of the index by market capitalisation, to be KLCC Property, QL Resources, Ambank, Batu Kawan and Malaysia Airports. The Reserve List, are stocks that would be used if one or more constituents are deleted from the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI during the period until the next semi-annual review.

Strategy. in this report, the research house acknowledges the gathering macroeconomic headwinds that will continue to buffet equity markets. The potential for volatility suggests that domestic investors will not look too far ahead as market valuations are not especially compelling, given the paucity of earnings growth in 2022. An outperformance in this market will require astute bottom-up stock-picking. Investors should remain focused on value and cyclical names that can leverage on the recovery and seek attractive entry points, while maintaining core holdings in defensive, high-yield stocks and companies with a strong ESG profile. RHB Research have OVERWEIGHT ratings on the bank, non-bank financial institutions, oil & gas, utilities, healthcare, basic materials, gaming and technology sectors.

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