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BNM To Warn Google Over Inaccurate Ringgit Exchange Rate Published

Bank Negara Malaysia said it firmly dismisses the inaccurate ringgit exchange rate data that has been circulating on social media based on an erroneous USD/MYR exchange rate published by Google on 15 March 2024. The Central Bank said it is an inaccurate information that does not reflect the actual trading.

Yesterday (15 March 2024), the USD/MYR was quoted at 4.7015 at 9 a.m. and 4.7045 at 5 p.m. with an intraday high of 4.7075 in the onshore interbank market for ringgit, as published on the BNM website.

In the past two weeks (1 – 15th March 2024), the ringgit has strengthened 0.76% against the US dollar.\

This is the second incident that Google has published an inaccurate USD/MYR exchange rate data in 2024. BNM said it had earlier issued a stern warning letter to Google when the first misreporting occurred on 6 February 2024. As this is the second
instance of misreporting, BNM said it will be engaging Google for an explanation of how the inaccurate reporting occurred and the corrective measures taken given that this is a recurring issue that has afflicted Malaysia and other countries in the past few months.

Long Paused EU-Malaysia FTA Set To Be Revisited

Malaysia has finally agreed to rekindle discussion on EU-FTA after Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim who is in Germany said it is about time for Malaysia and the European Union strengthen bilateral relations and regional integration further.

“The time is ripe for us to rekindle discussions on the Malaysia-EU Free Trade Agreement. We will facilitate an FTA,” he said, as with an FTA, Europe will be able to capitalise on Malaysia as a gateway to Asia.

Europe can leverage open market policies facilitated by the Asean FTA, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, and the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, Anwar said in his ceremonial address at the 101st Ostasiatisches Liebesmahl at the Hamburg City Hall yesterday.

Malaysia is currently conducting a scoping exercise with the EU to determine the gap in the positions and stances of both Putrajaya and the bloc for the FTA, which was postponed since 2012.

The Prime Minister said Malaysia is not just open to business but also ready to cooperate, innovate, and partner in high-quality ventures that align with national goals and global responsibilities.

Anwar took the opportunity to speak on the Madani Economy framework which embodies the commitment to propel Malaysia towards becoming a leading economy in Asia, as well as driving sustainable and inclusive development.

The framework envisions a society where prosperity is shared, advocating for greater Asean integration and economic complexity and establishing Malaysia as a regional powerhouse.

“Underpinning this is the New Industrial Master Plan 2030, which aims to reinvigorate Malaysia’s industrial landscape, focusing on adding value, advanced manufacturing, and high-impact investments,” he said.

On the other hand, the National Energy Transition Roadmap embodies a forward-looking stance on environmental stewardship, outlining a comprehensive strategy to achieve net zero emissions by 2050.

On the geopolitical side, Anwar said: “It bears stressing that our principled position of non-alignment stands us in good stead to conduct trade and commerce with the East and the West.”

Besides strong ties with Germany and Europe, Malaysia has also forged ties with China, Japan, South Korea, India, and Australia.

“While detractors have conjured a ghost of past rivalries and are now even raising the spectre of imminent war, I do not subscribe to that line of thought,” said the Prime Minister.

The main imperative for those in Southeast Asia, especially Malaysia, remains to be development, trade, and growth, as Putrajaya’s strategy is being proactive and anticipatory rather than reactive and unprepared.

“This strengthens our resilience against geopolitical fluctuations, allowing Malaysia to be the sixth largest semiconductor exporter in the world. It also allows Malaysia to export its energy without undue geopolitical concerns.

“Sarawak is an important state; we export energy to the new Indonesian capital, Nusantara, as well as through an undersea cable to Singapore and another undersea cable to the Peninsula.

“Hence, Malaysia is ready to support Germany’s energy transition through natural gas as a transitional fuel. This will balance Germany’s immediate energy security needs with long-term sustainability goals,” he said.

Anwar arrived in Berlin on March 10 for a six-day official visit to the world’s third-largest economy.

Germany has been Malaysia’s largest trading partner among European Union member countries since 2000, while Malaysia is the largest trading partner for Germany among Asean member states.

In 2023, Malaysia’s total trade with Germany increased by 5.9 per cent to RM63.45 billion (US$13.90 billion) compared to RM59.87 billion (US$13.62 billion) in 2022.

PM Pours Cold Water On MH370 Hopes

Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim has cautioned against high hopes of finding answers to the decade-long disappearance of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370, after a modern robotics company said it could reopen the search.

A total of 239 people, including more than 150 Chinese and 50 Malaysians, were onboard the aircraft when it disappeared while flying from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing on March 8, 2014, in what is considered one of aviation’s most haunting mysteries.

Days before the 10th anniversary this month, Transport Minister Anthony Loke announced that US firm Ocean Infinity could launch a new search for the wreckage.

The German Press Agency (dpa) reported Anwar as saying a decision would likely be taken in the coming weeks, after reviewing the proposal by the Texas-based company. However, he warned that relatives of the missing should not expect any breakthroughs.

“I do not want to give them a false hope that we can secure an answer. But I want to convince them that we are doing everything possible,” he added – even if it ended up costing “substantial funds”,” he told dpa during a his six-day official visit to Germany.

The premier, who was leader of the Opposition in 2014, said he himself was mystified by the plane’s disappearance.

“I cannot understand, in this day and age, how a huge steel facility like that can just disappear,” Anwar said.

Rate Cut Uncertainty Weighs On Ringgit

Despite the unexpectedly robust nonfarm payroll and the hotter than-expected US core inflation readings, the ringgit traded
stronger, hovering around the 4.678 – 4.686 level against the USD from Monday to Thursday. The USD index (DXY) did not surge as it had in last month’s above-consensus release, possibly due to the ambiguous nature of the job report. The ringgit’s resilience can partly be attributed to strong domestic readings (i.e. IPI), signalling brighter growth prospects for Malaysia. Additionally, government efforts to repatriate foreign investment income and interventions by the BNM could also be supporting the strength of the ringgit.

The ringgit is currently back above the 4.70/USD threshold, propelled by both the DXY and the 10-year US Treasury edging
higher. This surge comes amid escalating uncertainty over Fed rate cut expectations, fuelled by key US data such as the PPI. As the market braces for the upcoming FOMC meeting, the allure of the safe-haven USD may persist, particularly in light of the US economy’s persistent resilience. Unless clear indicators of an imminent downturn emerge, USD bears may remain in hibernation, particularly with expectations that the Bank of Japan may defer any significant moves until April, rather than acting next week. However, potential support for the ringgit could materialise if China’s key data releases and Malaysia’s trade figures exceed expectations.

The USDMYR outlook is neutral next week, with the pair expected to hover around its 5-day EMA of 4.695. Technically, the pair may trade in the range of 4.687 – 4.713. However, higher demand for USD may weaken the MYR.

Shrinkflation Impact On Consumers And The Malaysian Economy

By Dr. Hj. Muhammad Khusairy– In recent years, a Malaysian and worldwide phenomenon known as “shrinkflation” has gained attention in the consumer market. Shrinkflation refers to the practice of reducing the size or quantity of a product while maintaining its price, effectively leading to a hidden price increase for consumers. This deceptive tactic has significant implications for both individuals and the economy at large, particularly in a country like Malaysia. In this article, we will delve into the concept of shrinkflation, examine its adverse effects on consumers and the economy, and discuss the urgent need for proactive measures by the Malaysian government to address this issue.

The concept of shrinkflation can be traced back to economic principles of inflation and cost management. When businesses face rising production costs, such as raw materials, labor, or transportation, they often seek ways to maintain profitability. One strategy is to reduce the size or quantity of products while keeping the price unchanged. This allows companies to offset cost increases without overtly raising prices, which could deter consumers. This should alert the government as it affects the blockchain and circular economy in Malaysia. On the other hand, it is part of the “riba” concept, which is forbidden in Islam, as interest is currently taking place in the market, which makes it “haram” in many ways, even though it is halal to consume.

Shrinkflation can manifest in various forms, such as reducing the contents of food packages, diminishing the amount of product in household items, or offering smaller portions in restaurants without adjusting prices accordingly. While these changes may seem minor individually, they collectively erode consumer purchasing power and contribute to inflationary pressures over time.

The foremost impact of shrinkflation is felt by consumers, who may not immediately realize they are paying more for less. For example, a chocolate bar that used to weigh 100 grams may now weigh 90 grams but is still sold at the same price. While this difference might appear negligible, repeated across multiple purchases, it leads to a significant cost increase for consumers over time. Thus, cross nations if consumers are aware the impact has taken place and significant changes in volume even though prices remain the same. Crossing from bottled drinks to packed food.

Moreover, shrinkflation can be particularly burdensome for low-income households in Malaysia. These families often have limited budgets and rely on affordable products for daily necessities. When product sizes shrink without a corresponding reduction in price, it squeezes their purchasing power and forces them to either buy less or allocate more of their income to maintain the same level of consumption.

Furthermore, shrinkflation can be misleading for consumers who rely on price comparisons or historical trends to assess value. A product that appears to have a stable price over time may, in reality, be subject to shrinkflation, distorting perceptions of inflation and affecting consumer trust in pricing transparency.

Beyond its immediate impact on consumers, shrinkflation has broader economic implications that can affect Malaysia’s economic stability and growth prospects. One significant consequence is its contribution to inflationary pressures within the economy. While traditional inflation measures may not capture shrinkflation directly, its cumulative effect contributes to the overall rise in consumer prices, potentially leading to higher inflation rates than officially reported.

High inflation rates, fueled in part by shrinkflation, can erode purchasing power, reduce consumer confidence, and disrupt long-term consumption patterns. This can create a vicious cycle where consumers cut back on spending, leading to lower demand for goods and services, which in turn can dampen economic growth and investment.

Moreover, shrinkflation can impact competitiveness and market dynamics. Domestic producers may resort to shrinkflation as a short-term cost management strategy, but if not properly regulated, it can distort price signals, hinder innovation, and reduce the quality of products over time. This can undermine Malaysia’s competitiveness in global markets and hinder efforts to attract foreign investment and promote sustainable economic development.

Given the detrimental effects of shrinkflation on consumers and the economy, proactive measures are essential to mitigate its impact and promote fair and transparent pricing practices. The Malaysian government can play a pivotal role in addressing the shrinkflation challenge through a multifaceted approach.

Firstly, regulatory agencies such as the Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs should enhance monitoring and enforcement efforts to detect instances of shrinkflation. This includes conducting regular inspections of product packaging and labeling to ensure that consumers are informed about any changes in quantity or size.

Secondly, there is a need for greater transparency and disclosure requirements for businesses engaging in shrinkflation. Companies should be obligated to communicate any changes in product sizes or quantities to consumers, accompanied by explanations for price adjustments. This transparency empowers consumers to make informed purchasing decisions and fosters trust in the marketplace.

Thirdly, the government can incentivize companies to adopt responsible pricing practices through tax incentives or rewards for maintaining stable product sizes and prices over time. Conversely, penalties or fines can be imposed on businesses found guilty of deceptive shrinkflation practices, serving as a deterrent and promoting fair competition.

Additionally, consumer education campaigns are crucial to raise awareness about shrinkflation and equip individuals with the knowledge and tools to identify and respond to deceptive pricing tactics. By promoting consumer empowerment and advocacy, these campaigns can create a more vigilant and informed marketplace that values fairness and integrity.

Furthermore, collaboration with industry stakeholders, including businesses, consumer associations, and academia, is vital in developing industry standards and best practices to address shrinkflation effectively. This collaborative approach fosters dialogue, encourages innovation in pricing strategies, and promotes a level playing field that benefits both businesses and consumers. It’s the responsibility of the industry to justify the claim as well as to inform the consumer regarding the shrinkflation in advance not just do it without feeling remorseful on the matter at hand despite the so-called cost incremental.

In conclusion, shrinkflation poses significant challenges for consumers and the economy in Malaysia, leading to hidden price increases, eroding purchasing power, and distorting market dynamics. The Malaysian government must take proactive measures to address shrinkflation through enhanced regulation, transparency, consumer education, and industry collaboration.

By promoting fair and transparent pricing practices, fostering consumer empowerment, and incentivizing responsible business conduct, Malaysia can mitigate the adverse effects of shrinkflation and build a more resilient and equitable economy. Through concerted efforts and stakeholder engagement, Malaysia can emerge as a leader in combating shrinkflation and promoting consumer welfare and economic prosperity.

By Ts. Dr. Hj. Muhammad Khusairy Bin Capt. Hj. Bakri, a Postdoctoral Research Associate at the Composite Materials and Engineering Center, Washington State University (WSU), and a Lead Research and Development Sector of the Association of Professional Technicians and Technologists (APTT) Sarawak, and Ahmad Faisal Bin Mahdi is a Senior Lecturer at the Faculty of Business and Management, Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM), a Chartered Institute of Marketing member

‘Hyper Heightened’ Asian Gen Z, Millennials are changing regional travel markets


Gen Z and millennial tourists will make up half of all travellers in the Asia-Pacific region, the fastest growing region for travel, by 2025, says Todd Handcock, the global chief commercial officer and Asia-Pacific head for Collinson Group, which operates the Priority Pass airport lounges.

But this new generation of tourists wants something else from their travel. These two groups have a “hyper heightened focus on personalised value-added experiences,” according to Collinson’s customer engagement report. Younger travellers are thus more likely to value benefits such as spas or sleeping pods at the airport, treating time spent waiting for flights as part of the overall travel experience.

According to a Collinson survey in September, cashback and points remained the most popular financial rewards for Gen X travellers while Gen Z and millennials showed a preference for experiential-driven travel rewards.

Other industry research suggest Gen Z and millennial travellers are more likely to favour nature-based or cultural experiences when traveling. Travelers from these two cohorts are also more likely to be influenced by social media as opposed to search engines or travel guides.

By comparison, Gen X travellers travel less frequently and are more willing to pay for luxury, according to industry research. These tourists may also be traveling with family, and so may look for family-friendly options or activities that are suitable for children.

Collinson runs over 1,500 airport lounges in 600 different cities, and partners with banks, airlines and hotels to offer consumers access. “If you take a look at our geographic coverage, we have probably more insight than any other airline and hotel group, bar [Marriott] Bonvoy,” Handcock says.

Passengers trying to enter Collinson Group’s lounges need to submit their boarding passes and a membership card, giving the company information on where people are going, how old they are, and how they became a Priority Pass member. (Handcock says the company is “tight on privacy rules and very protective of our clients’ data.”)

Air travel in the Asia Pacific is largely back to pre-pandemic levels, he says, based on a 17% increase in lounge visits, driven by millennials and Gen Z, for the current quarter compared to the same period in 2019.

India and China

India and China are Collinson’s “significant markets,” Handcock says.

China has lagged behind the rest of Asia when it comes to international air travel recovery. Fewer flight options, which may also result in higher prices, coupled with visa backlogs and restrictions have often been cited by the travel industry as possible reasons for the slower rebound. (Domestic travel, on the other hand has surpassed pre-COVID levels, with industry figures not seeing a slowdown)

Yet data from the recent Lunar New Year holiday suggest that new visa-free initiatives from nearby countries like Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand could be encouraging Chinese tourists to travel internationally again. China saw some 13.52 million inbound and outbound trips during the holiday, which is 2.8 times more from the same holiday period last year, according to the National Immigration Administration. Fliggy, a travel platform owned by Alibaba, noted that outbound travel hit a four-year high.

Handcock notes that Collinson is starting to see more inbound travel to China as well, suggesting that international travellers are now more confident to visit China. Beijing, for its part, has been trying to make it easier for people outside of China to visit. It unilaterally granted citizens from Thailand, Malaysia, and 11 different European countries visa-free access to the country.

“China has not fully recovered but we’re seeing significant growth both from a domestic as well as an inbound perspective,” Handcock said.

Hancock is more effusive on India’s potential, citing government policy, a rising middle-class, and Collinson data pointing to a burgeoning air travel sector.

“Our 2023 lounge visit data has seen a 56% year-on-year increase in outbound traffic from India,” Handcock says. India is expected to have about 5 billion aggregate trips annually by 2030, and travel expenditure is expected to grow to $410 billion by 2030, according to a study released by Booking.com and McKinsey & Company in October.

The top destinations for outbound India travel, based on Collinson’s data, are the United Arab Emirates, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, and Indonesia.

The Indian government is encouraging more investment in its aviation industry, with the Modi administration saying that the government would spend 980 billion Indian rupees ($11.83 billion) by 2025 to build new airports and modernise existing ones.

Indian carriers are also expanding their fleets. The newly-privatised Air India ordered 470 planes from Boeing and Airbus in February 2023. Also last year, Indian airline IndiGo ordered 500 Airbus planes at the Paris Airshow, the largest single purchase agreement by any airline in commercial aviation history. – Fortune.com

Thailand’s Flourishing Cannabis Culture To End As Government Seeks Ban

The Thailand Parliament Building BANGKOK THAILAND-31 DECEMBER 2018:The Thai Parliament building has a statue of King Prajadhipok in front of the building. on BANGKOK THAILAND-31 DECEMBER 2018

Thodsapol Hongtong is enjoying a smoke with his friends at the “Green Party”, a venue where recreational cannabis enthusiasts meet in the Thai capital Bangkok to chat and have a good time. But it’s a pastime that may be coming to an end.

The 31-year-old influencer who runs his own cannabis shop regularly touts recreational marijuana as good for the country’s economy on his online platform “Channel Weed Thailand”.

The booming cannabis sector could be worth $1.2 billion by next year, according to the estimate by the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce.

“Where (else) in the world can we lie around on the beach and enjoy a joint,” Thodsapol told Reuters, taking a puff from his bong.

But the Thai government is looking to stamp out cannabis culture with a ban on its recreational use to be rolled out by the end of the year. Medical use will still be permitted.

Thai Health Minister Cholnan Srikaew, in an interview with Reuters last month, described recreational marijuana as a “misuse” of cannabis that has a negative impact on Thai children and could lead to other drug abuses.

Recreational cannabis flourished in Thailand after the country became the first in Asia to fully decriminalise the substance in 2022, enabling a new public wave of weed appreciation culture.

Neon signs of cannabis leaf in multiple languages are highly visible on many street corners in Thai towns and cities, marking the tens of thousands of shops, spas, bars and gaming lounges where a variety of cannabis strains are readily available.

Many streetside shops in tourist areas sell smoking paraphernalia, while cannabis-related festivals became more common, like last year’s joint-rolling competition in the resort island of Phuket that drew in weed aficionados from around the world.

The Thai government’s draft law banning recreational use of cannabis will be up for cabinet approval later this month. – Reuters

Fracturing ‘Magnificent Seven’ Trade Puts Spotlight On Megacap Valuations In Coming Week

Diverging fortunes for the massive technology and growth names that have propelled the U.S. stock market higher are throwing a spotlight on their pricey valuations.

The so-called “Magnificent Seven” are collectively trading at an average of 33 times their expected earnings for the next 12 months, up from 26 at the end of 2022, according to LSEG Datastream. That compares with a price-to-earnings ratio of about 21 for the benchmark S&P 500 index, which has risen over 7% this year.

Investors last year were happy to pay up for the megacaps, given the companies’ solid balance sheets and dominant positions atop their industries. They have been more discriminating this year, punishing the shares of Tesla and Apple when their outlooks turned murky while fuelling dizzying gains in Nvidia.

“When you get to those kinds of valuations you have no room for failure, no room for disappointment,” said Mike Mullaney, director of global markets research at Boston Partners.

Concerns about electric vehicle demand have sparked a near 35% drop in the shares of the former market darling Tesla this year, making it the S&P 500’s worst performer. The stock traded at about 65 times forward earnings at the start of the year, and is down to about 50.

Another Magnificent Seven member, Apple, has ceded its perch as the biggest U.S. company by market value to Microsoft after its shares declined 10% year-to-date, amid pressure in its China business. The stock’s P/E has fallen from 29 to 25.

Meanwhile, chipmaker Nvidia, which trades at about 35 times earnings, has soared about 80% as it established a dominant position in artificial intelligence applications. AI optimism has also helped drive a nearly 40% gain in Meta Platforms. The Facebook parent trades at 24 times earnings.

By contrast, the Magnificent Seven last year advanced about 50% for Apple to over 230% for Nvidia. Because of the stocks’ heavy weighting in the S&P 500, the group’s performance accounted for over 60% of the index’s appreciation last year. The S&P 500 rose 24% in 2023.

Markets are awaiting the coming week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting, which concludes on Wednesday. A strong economy and sticky inflation have lowered investor expectations for how much the central bank will cut rates this year, leading to a rise in Treasury yields that could pressure stocks if it continues.

Investors gauging whether Nvidia can parlay its massive lead in AI computing into long-term dominance will be watching the company’s developer conference, set to kick off on Monday.

Though AI optimism has helped lift a swath of the Magnificent Seven, many investors are grappling with how to weigh the technology’s potential in their valuation models.

“We are in a unique cycle here with AI, so we are struggling to make sure we optimize the opportunity of this massive transitional shift in technology,” said Ken Laudan, portfolio manager for the Buffalo Large Cap Fund, which holds the seven stocks but is underweight them on a combined basis.

While robust earnings have supported the Magnificent Seven’s valuations, the group’s growth trajectory is due to moderate later this year or early next, said Jeffrey Buchbinder, chief equity strategist for LPL Financial.

“At that point, markets may not want to pay double the P/E for this group,” said Buchbinder, pointing the Magnificent Seven’s trailing P/E of 41 versus 23 for the S&P 500.

Many investors remain sanguine regarding the Magnificent Seven’s valuations. Five of the seven are trading below their five-year median P/E ratios, while the group is trading more cheaply versus the market than a few years ago, JPMorgan strategists said this week.

Nvidia’s P/E has actually fallen from nearly 60 a year ago as analysts increase their profit forecasts for the chipmaker.

“These are companies that are cranking out enormous amounts of cash, very strong balance sheets, visible sources of revenue growth,” said Katie Nixon, chief investment officer for Northern Trust Wealth Management.

But Apple and Tesla’s shares have recently fallen below their 200-day moving averages. Though the rest of the group are above that mark, more of the Magnificent Seven dropping below their trend lines could be a “warning sign” for the market, Citigroup analysts said.

If the Magnificent Seven “start to go down … absolutely you could reverse a lot of the recent almost euphoric sentiment,” said Sameer Samana, senior global market strategist at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute. – Reuters

Anwar Meets Nexperia’s Top Execs In Hamburg

YAB Perdana Menteri, Dato’ Seri Anwar Ibrahim ketika pertemuan bersama Enxperia di Hamburg, Jerman pada 15 Mac 2024. - AFIQ HAMBALI/Pejabat Perdana Menteri NO SALES; NO ARCHIVE; RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE ONLY. NOTE TO EDITORS: This photos may only be used for editorial reporting purposes for the contemporaneous illustration of events, things or the people in the image or facts mentioned in the caption. Reuse of the pictures may require further permission. MANDATORY CREDIT - AFIQ HAMBALI/Prime Minister

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim met top executives of Holland-based semiconductor company Nexperia BV, including its chief executive officer Xuezheng Zhang, at this German port city.

Others were Nexperia’s chief financial officer and managing director Nexperia Germany, Stefan Tilger, chief operations officer Achim Kempe, chief corporate affairs Jean-Pierre Kempeneers and senior director, head of advocacy and alliances, Hannes Van Raemdonck.

Also present during the 50-minute meeting was Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Abdul Aziz, Malaysian Investment Development Authority (MIDA) chief executive officer Datuk Wira Arham Abdul Rahman and Malaysia External Trade Development Corporation (MATRADE) chief executive officer Datuk Mohd Mustafa Abdul Aziz.

Nexperia BV has a wholly owned subsidiary in Malaysia, Nexperia Malaysia Sdn Bhd, which is expanding its presence in Malaysia with its latest facility in Seremban, Negeri Sembilan.

During a ground breaking ceremony in 2021, it was reported that by 2026, Nexperia Malaysia is looking to invest an additional RM1.6 billion in building, equipment and automation in Malaysia.

Nexperia is among the leading players in the high-volume production of essential semiconductors and components that are utilised in a variety of electronic designs.

Its extensive product-portfolio includes diodes, transistors and electrostatic discharge (ESD) protection devices as well as analogue and logic integrated circuits.

Anwar arrived in Berlin on March 10 for a six-day official visit to the third largest economy in the world.

During his stay in Berlin, Anwar held talks with his German counterpart Chancellor Olaf Scholz besides paying a courtesy call on President Frank-Walter Steinmeier.

He also visited the Siemens Energy plant in Huttenstrabe before engaging more than 35 captains of industry and potential investors from Europe at a business roundtable meeting.

Stocks Set For Weekly Fall; Dollar Climbs As Fed Rate Cut Expected

A gauge of global stocks fell on Friday and was set for a weekly decline that would snap seven straight weekly gains, while the dollar rose and was on track for its strongest week since mid-January, as U.S. inflation data has led to new hopes for interest rate cuts.

Data on Friday showed U.S. import prices increased marginally in February as a surge in the cost of petroleum products was partially offset by modest gains elsewhere, suggesting an improving inflation picture.

Equities struggled this week after readings on U.S. consumer prices and producer prices indicated inflation remains sticky, dampening expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut rates by its June meeting.

Markets are pricing in a 59.2% chance for a rate cut of at least 25 basis points (bps) by the Fed in June, down from 59.5% in the prior session and 73.3% a week ago, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.

The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady at its policy meeting next week but investors will be watching the central bank’s economic projections, including its interest rate forecast.

“We seem in a period here where everyone knows rates eventually will be lowered. The expectation of when it happens keeps getting slightly pushed back, but investors still believe it will happen,” said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.

“It’s been a back-and-forth market as people reposition and consider whether some of the real winners have just gone a little bit too far, so you’re seeing them trade off.”

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 190.89 points, or 0.49%, to 38,714.77, the S&P 500 lost 33.53 points, or 0.65%, to 5,116.95 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 155.35 points, or 0.96%, to 15,973.17.

For the week, the S&P 500 lost 0.13%, the Dow shed 0.02% and the Nasdaq declined 0.73%.

In addition, a survey from the University of Michigan showed its preliminary reading on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations were little changed in March while a separate report said production at U.S. factories increased more than expected in February.

The dollar index gained 0.05% at 103.43, recouping some of the prior week’s decline with a gain of 0.71%, with the euro up 0.06% at $1.0889 on the session. Sterling weakened 0.13% at $1.273.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.49% to 149.05, despite expectations the Bank of Japan is expected to end its negative interest rate policy at its meeting next week.

MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe fell 5.07 points, or 0.66%, to 767.58, poised for its third straight daily decline, the longest streak since the start of the year, and down 0.48% on the week.

The STOXX 600 index closed down 0.32%, while Europe’s broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 7.42 points, or 0.37%.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was up 1 basis point at 4.308% after reaching 4.322%, its highest since Feb. 23. The 10-year yield has jumped 22 bps this week, the most since mid-October.

The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 3.9 basis points to 4.7297% and has risen 24.6 bps for the week, its largest jump in two months.

Oil prices dipped, a day after topping $85 a barrel for the first time since November. The oil benchmarks were on track to close out the week with a gain of more than 3%. U.S. crude settled down 0.27% lower on the day at $81.04 a barrel and Brent settled off 0.09% to $85.34 per barrel. – Reuters

Anomaly Drives MAHB Passenger Traffic To 11 Million In February

MAHB reported the February passenger traffic movement across its network and highlighting that it showed an unusually strong growth momentum, recording 11 million passengers despite February shorter days and exceeding February 2019 levels by 3.3%.

The airport operator said the robust growth was driven by a combination of positive dynamics that all happened at the same time which was the one-month year end school holidays, the eight-day Chinese Spring Festival season, 30 days visa exemptions for China and India, new airlines, additional frequencies, Chinese New Year festive and Routes Asia event in Langkawi. Remarkably, the international passenger movements recorded new highs exceeding 5 million marks for the second consecutive month at 5.8million
passengers, a double-digit increase of 12.8% over February 2019.

Domestic passenger movements were equally encouraging, recording 5.2million passengers reaching a high recovery rate of 94.5%. Correspondingly, traffic at airports in Malaysia continue to show resilience recording new highs of 7.8million passengers, reaching more than 90% recovery rate for the first time at 95.8%. It is noteworthy to note that the daily average international passenger movements occasionally exceeded February 2019 on seven separate days between 1% to 10%.

MAHB also said there has been an increase in passengers from Mainland China and India following the introduction of the 30 days visa-free entry from 1 December 2023, with both sectors reaching 86% and 90% respectively over 2019 levels. Domestic sector fared well, recording 3.8 million passenger movements reaching 94.8% of February 2019 levels, marking the highest recovery rate since the pandemic outbreak. The average load factor reached more than 80% at 82.9%, indicating traffic is on the path towards normalisation, particularly during months with festive seasons and school holidays, which tend to be peak months.

It added the robust growth in traffic was also driven by airline route expansions, new airlines and routes resumption. KL International Airport (KUL) welcomed Turkmenistan Airlines with twice weekly frequencies from Ashgabat expanding Central Asian connectivity. Loong Air commenced operations to Hangzhou with thrice-weekly frequencies starting 1st February. Batik Air Malaysia’s additional operations from KUL to Tawau, with daily services, and to Kota Bharu and Sibu, with twice weekly
services, have further stimulated growth in domestic passenger movements and expanding the airline’s international network across Asia and Europe, introducing service to six new city pairs, namely Kaohsiung, Dayong, and Batam with three flights per week, and SAW, Kunming, and Zhengzhou with four flights per week, respectively. In addition, AirAsia recommenced Lombok service from KUL.

Kota Kinabalu International Airport welcomed direct flights from Jakarta operated by Indonesia AirAsia and Shanghai PuDong by AirAsia, with thrice weekly frequencies respectively. Penang and Langkawi International Airport also welcomed Flydubai with daily service to open new outward streams of leisure travel from Dubai.

Istanbul Sabiha Gökçen International Airport (SAW) traffic continued to be buoyant, recording 3.2 million passenger movements, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by 27.4%, marking the highest recovery rate to-date.

In the latest February 2024 revision, the Airport Council International (ACI) indicated that the Asia Pacific Region is expected to surpass 2019 levels by 3% for the first time since COVID-19, by the end of 2024. ACI also forecasted that the global passenger numbers for 2024 would surpass 2019 by 6% and increase by 12% compared to 2023.

Stats On Number Of Road Accidents To Be Released Daily In Real Time

The Bukit Aman Traffic Investigation and Enforcement Department said it will release statistical information on the number of road accidents and fatalities on a daily basis in real time.

It said this aligns with the recent decision by the Cabinet committee meeting on traffic congestion and road safety.

Its director Datuk Mohd Azman Ahmad Sapri said the road accident statistics, including fatalities, would be issued in real-time, taking data from accidents that occurred the previous day.

“Infographics will be uploaded on JSPT’s official social media platforms.

“The dissemination of statistical data is aimed at increasing awareness among road users and the general public about the seriousness of road accidents that occur daily,” he said in a statement today.

Azman also advised all road users to adhere strictly to traffic laws and regulations.

“Cooperation from the public is hoped to enhance further awareness of the importance of ensuring safety and reducing the rate of road accidents in Malaysia,” he said

Citaglobal To Venture Into Sabah With Commercial Shop Project

Citaglobal Berhad has announced a joint venture with USIA for a proposed commercial development consisting of 108 units of 2-storey shop office on 2 parcels of land in Semporna, Sabah measuring in a total of approximately 11.88 acres.

USIA is an association and is the beneficial and registered owner of the Project Land, of which is currently charged to Sabah Development Bank.

Citaglobal via its subsidiary will commence the project at its own expense within 6 months from the procurement of relevant approvals and to complete the project and the construction of the project units within 4 years from the procurement of relevant approvals with a maximum period of extension of 2 years to be granted if applicable

After which the group will fix and determine the selling prices of all the project unit and USIA will be entitled to 10 units from the completed development.

The group believes the project land’s strategic location within Semporna Town, Sabah, famous for its natural sceneries and proximity to water-based tourism and attractions, will attract potential property buyers. The Proposed Joint Venture is expected to contribute positively to the future revenue and earnings of the Group upon the sale of the Project Units. It is also an opportunity to venture into the property development business in the Borneo region.

Subject to the completion of the Project, Citaglobal said in the event when USIA is ready to proceed with the development of its other lands in Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, USIA agrees to grant SDSB the right of first refusal to undertake the development.

Bermaz Auto’s Plans For Electric

Bermaz Auto announced that it was awarded distributorship & rights for sale of spare parts and provision of after sales services of China brand XPeng smart EVs in Malaysia. XPeng is a Guangzhou-based EV start-up listed on the NYSE and HKSE. MIDF notes that although its market share is currently small, the group counts the VW Group as a strategic investor and under the partnership, is looking to launch two EV models by 2026 and will collaborate on platform and software development, among others.

What are BAuto’s plans? Details of this new venture are still sketchy, but the house said it understands that BAuto is eyeing a majority stake in the distribution business. MIDF said it also gathers that ‘minimal’ capex is expected at the initial
stages as local distributor is looking at CBU imports for the initial seeding and market testing phase, capitalising on the excise duty exemption for CBU BEVs which runs until December 2025. One firm model is in the pipeline i.e., the G6 midsize SUV, whereby the G6 will also be XPeng’s first RHD model, scheduled for launch in 2HCY24. Based on pricing in China of
between RMB210K-277K, the house reckons the G6 might be positioned around the RM150K-RM200K price point for the Malaysian market, which will pit it against the BYD Atto and Tesla Model-Y. There is no firm indication on CKD plans yet but MIDF believes this is a possibility given that CKD BEVs are extended excise duty exemption further out until December 2027.

MIDF thinks BAuto is eyeing ASEAN as part of global expansion which is part of XPeng’s global expansion strategy, which
counts ASEAN and EMEA as some of the key regions it is eyeing. For ASEAN, the group has made public of its plans to enter
the Singapore, Thailand and Malaysian market via partnership with local distributors. The house believes BAuto might consider negotiating for distribution rights for the Philippines market where it has a ready distribution network for the
Mazda brand.

While still early days, MIDF believes the addition of XPeng fills an important gap in group’s electrification plan considering China auto industry’s dominance and technical competence in the BEV space. BAuto is currently heavily reliant on Japanese marques and more recently a Korean marque, to drive sales. ICE is expected to remain the group’s mainstay for now in line with still meagre BEV penetration in Malaysia which stood at 1.3% in CY23.

However, the Malaysian Government has set a target of hitting 15%/38% xEV penetration by 2030/40; the transition to BEV
is expected to pick up pace once BEV cost moves closer to parity with ICE and regulated price floors are eventually removed
in the market – this partnership positions BAuto well to capture such growth opportunities in the transition.
Earnings estimates. We leave our projections unchanged at this juncture pending further detailed plans on the rollout of
the XPeng distribution business.

MIDF maintains a BUY call on BAuto at unchanged TP of RM3.39. Valuation is cheap at 8.4x FY24F PER while dividend yield is attractive at 9.5% (80% DPR). Key catalysts: (1) Rollout of the Kia Sportage, (2) Weak JPY, (3) BEV duty exemptions which may incentivize consumer take-up of EV models – BAuto is well positioned to capitalize on this with ready EV models from Kia (EV6 & Niro EV), Mazda (MX30 EV) and the upcoming XPeng EV models.

TikTok Made US$16 Billion From US Last Year As It Stares At A Shutdown

China’s ByteDance-owned TikTok posted revenue of about US$16 billion last year in the United States, where the viral video app that has hooked Gen Z users is at the risk of being banned, the Financial Times reported on Friday (Mar 15).

ByteDance’s revenue of US$120 billion in 2023 was up about 40 per cent from a year earlier, driven by TikTok’s exploding growth, although China accounts for a big portion of the company’s sales, the FT reported, citing five people with knowledge of the matter.

The short video app, used by about 170 million Americans, achieved record sales in the United States in 2023, according to the report.

ByteDance, nicknamed “App Factory” due to its frequent releases of mobile applications, is on track to overtake Facebook-parent Meta Platforms as the world’s largest social media company by sales, the report added.

Meta’s 2023 revenue rose 16 per cent to US$134.90 billion.

ByteDance did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.

The US House of Representatives on Wednesday overwhelmingly passed a Bill that would give ByteDance about six months to divest the US assets of TikTok, or face a ban.TikTok was the most downloaded social media app in the United States in 2023, with 47 million downloads. Facebook and Instagram came in at second and third place, with 35 million and 34 million downloads, respectively, according to market intelligence firm Sensor Tower.

Reuters

KPJ Healthcare Chairman Datuk Md Arif Steps Down

KPJ Healthcare Chairman, Datuk Md Arif Mahmood will be stepping down as Non-independent non-Executive Director and Chairman of KPJ Healthcare after completing his 2-year tenure on 31 March 2024.

Datuk Md Arif assumed his position as the Chairman of the Board on 1 April 2022, as the country was transitioning to the endemic phase of COVID-19. The group said under his strategic leadership, KPJ Healthcare was able to capitalise on its strength and capture the emerging opportunities to deliver its highest recorded revenue of RM2.9 billion in 2022 and RM3.4 billion in 2023. Today, the group’s value has also doubled since the past 2 years.

Driven by its purpose of ‘Care for Life’, I trust that KPJ Healthcare will continue to reinvent itself in redefining the healthcare
industry. By leveraging on its vast network of specialist hospitals in the country, experienced and dedicated staffs and consultants, digital transformation efforts, deployment of the latest technology and collaboration with renowned partners, I believe the Company will continue to set the pace for change. I look forward to seeing the company continue to
thrive and achieve even greater success in the future,” said Datuk Md Arif.

President and Managing Director of KPJ Healthcare, Chin Keat Chyuan remarked, “Datuk Md Arif’s wisdom guided us in responding to the changing demands of the healthcare industry. His strategic foresight had also pushed us to explore new avenues of growth and to innovate beyond conventional practices in the face of fierce competition. KPJ Healthcare also strengthened its commitment to patient-centricity under his leadership. On behalf of Team KPJ Healthcare, I extend my sincerest gratitude to Datuk Md Arif for his invaluable contributions, and we wish him all the best for his future endeavours.”

After A Lasting Allure, What’s Next For Gold?

The Producer Price Index (PPI) serves as a crucial gauge of inflationary pressures at the producer level, reflecting changes in the prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services over time. The PPI data can have several impacts on gold prices:

  1. Inflation Expectations: A higher-than-expected PPI suggests increased inflationary pressures within the economy, which can erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies like the US dollar. In response, investors may turn to gold as a hedge against inflation, driving up demand and consequently boosting gold prices.
  2. Monetary Policy Outlook: Elevated PPI levels may prompt central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, to consider tightening monetary policy to curb inflation. This could involve raising interest rates or tapering asset purchases, which may strengthen the value of the domestic currency and exert downward pressure on gold prices.
  3. Market Sentiment: Investors often interpret PPI data as a reflection of overall economic health and stability. A significant deviation from expectations in either direction can influence market sentiment, leading traders to adjust their positions in gold accordingly. For example, unexpectedly high PPI figures may raise concerns about overheating and lead to risk aversion, driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
  4. Currency Dynamics: PPI data can impact currency exchange rates, particularly if it leads to shifts in monetary policy expectations. Changes in currency values relative to the US dollar can influence the price of gold, as gold is primarily priced in USD. For instance, a weaker US dollar resulting from dovish monetary policy expectations could support higher gold prices.

Overall, the relationship between PPI data and gold prices is complex and multifaceted, with various economic factors and market dynamics contributing to the outcome. However, in general, higher-than-expected PPI levels tend to support gold prices, while lower-than-expected readings may exert downward pressure on the precious metal.

Talking about the actual market now we had a backdrop of significant shifts in economic indicators, XAUUSD, has witnessed notable movements, largely influenced by recent developments in the US economy.

A noteworthy decline in US retail sales during January has played a pivotal role in bolstering gold’s recovery on Thursday, marking the most substantial month-on-month drop since February 2023. Concurrently, a decrease in unemployment claims suggests a strengthening job market, adding further momentum to gold’s ascent.

The allure of gold has been further enhanced by a weakening dollar and diminishing Treasury yields, rendering it more appealing to international investors seeking safe-haven assets. However, the short-term trajectory of gold remains intricately intertwined with expectations surrounding interest rates. Despite indications of persistent inflationary pressures in recent data, gold faces potential short-term headwinds until the Federal Reserve signals readiness for rate cuts.

Nevertheless, the overall bias remains bullish, notwithstanding minor retreats observed. While a more substantial correction has yet to be confirmed, the US reported higher inflation figures for February, albeit with minimal impact on the price of gold, as the direction of the USD appeared uncertain.

From a technical standpoint, XAU/USD has exhibited sideways movement in the short term. Breaking free from the up-channel pattern, the price has hinted at a potential corrective phase. However, the broader outlook remains optimistic, contingent upon XAU/USD maintaining its position above the weekly pivot point of $2,151.

Market commentary and analysis from Luca Santos, currency analyst ACY Securities

MyEG, Direct Lending Jointly Launch BNPL Service For Auto Repairs

MY E.G. Services Berhad in collaboration with Direct Lending Sdn Bhd announed the launch of a Shariah-compliant Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) programme tailored for automotive services.

This initiative it said it designed to assist vehicle owners by providing a solution to unexpected automotive expenses without the burden of immediate out-of-pocket expenses for car repairs and services. Through the company’s MYEG’s MyAssist service centres, car owners can access a wide array of essential automotive services including, flood repair, body and paint work, regular maintenance, towing, and tire replacement, while paying monthly installments up to 12 months.

A highlight of this partnership is the Flood Assistance Package, where both parties offer both peace of mind and financial flexibility, especially valuable for those without specific flood coverage (of motor insurance) for such incidents. Considering that only 4% of Malaysians have flood coverage, as reported by the Persatuan Insurans Am Malaysia (PIAM), the need for comprehensive support in the event of floods is more critical than ever



Fitch Affirms Indonesia At ‘BBB’; Outlook Stable

Fitch Ratings has affirmed Indonesia’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at ‘BBB’ with a Stable Outlook.

Among the key ratings driver, Fitch said Indonesia’s rating balances a favourable medium-term growth outlook and low government debt/GDP ratio against weak government revenue and lagging structural features, such as governance indicators, compared with ‘BBB’ category peers. Several external finance metrics, such as its current account, are stronger than pre-Covid-19 pandemic levels, but should normalise to some extent in the next few years, on the assumption that commodity prices will fall further.

The ratings agency’s forecast for GDP growth in 2024 to be broadly stable at 4.9%, slightly down from 5.05% in 2023. It expects slower export momentum in the first of half of this year, given weakening global demand, but strong domestic investment and consumption will most likely support growth, also due in part to spending related to local elections to be held country-wide in November. Fitch forecasts GDP growth to accelerate to 5.3% in 2025, as investment should strengthen following reduced near-term policy uncertainty after a new government takes office in October this year.

Notably consumer price inflation is under control, at 2.8% in February with core inflation even lower at 1.7%. Fitch expects inflation to remain within Indonesia’s inflation target band, that was lowered for this year to 2.5% +/- 1pp, with an end-2024 forecast of 2.7% and a slight increase to 3.0% by end-2025 in line with strengthening economic growth. The agency also believes that Bank Indonesia will cut its policy rates by 75bp to 5.25% later this year, when interest rates start falling in the US, and by another 75bp to 4.5% in 2025.

Fitch assumes broad economic policy continuity in the next government following the recent first round of presidential elections, in which Defence Minister Prabowo Subianto claimed victory. It expects the govt will maintain a focus on infrastructure development, including in the new capital city Nusantara being built in East Kalimantan, and sustain efforts to support commodity down streaming and expand battery and electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturing. Monetary and fiscal policy settings are also likely to remain supportive of macro stability, at least during the remainder of this year.

McDonald’s Suffers System Outage, Operation Disruption In Asia, Europe, US

A widespread McDonald’s system outage on Friday (Mar 15) disrupted operations across Asia, including in Singapore, Japan and China, leaving stores either unable to accept orders or having staff resort to pen and paper. 

A McDonald’s spokesperson said that the company was aware of a technology outage impacting its restaurants and that the issue was being resolved, adding that the outage was not related to a “cybersecurity event”.

McDonald’s Japan said it had halted operations at many stores nationwide due to a system disruption, with technical issues also reported in Australia, China and Hong Kong.

McDonald’s Japan took to X to apologise for the inconvenience and asked customers to “wait for a while until the service is restored”.

The fast food chain has nearly 3,000 shops across Japan, according to its website.

McDonald’s Hong Kong took to Facebook to apologise for the inconvenience caused by a “computer system failure”.

“The mobile ordering and self-ordering kiosks are not functioning. Please order directly at the restaurant counter,” it said. 

The HK Economic Times later quoted a McDonald’s spokesperson at about 4pm local time as saying the computer system had resumed normal operations. 

South Korea temporarily suspended service, with its delivery website citing “regular server maintenance for website stabilisation”.

India, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam have seemingly been unaffected. 

In Australia, where there are about 1,000 stores, a spokesperson confirmed that the issue was nationwide. 

Some stores in New Zealand also reported outages. A company spokesperson told the New Zealand Herald newspaper: “Restaurants are experiencing an IT issue that’s impacting their ability to process orders.”

Many others took to social media to flag the unfolding situation, with X users reporting similar issues in Germany, Austria, the Netherlands and the US.