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Velesto Expected To Deliver Strong Results In 4Q23F, 1Q24F: CGS-CIMB

Velesto Energy Bhd is expected to deliver strong results in 4Q23F and 1Q24F as its utilisation rates to rise above 90%, CGS-CIMB said.

Consequently, the research house reiterated ADD rating, with a higher end-CY24F discounted cash flow (DCF)-target price (TP) of 29 sen, with cost of equity (Ke) of 11.2%.

In its Company Note today (Feb 8) said that drilling activity in the Middle East is very active in January 2024.

According to data consultancy Riglogix, global jack-up (JU) drilling rig market remains red hot, with worldwide utilisation at 85% in January 2024, and average daily charter rates (DCR) rising 26% from the 2022 average to US$91,000 per day last month.

“The strength in JU demand has been driven by the frenetic drilling activity in the Middle East, Indian subcontinent, and the Far East.

“This drew JU rigs away from Southeast Asia (SEA), which pushed up the SE Asian JU rig utilisation rate to 91% in Jan 2024, and raised the average daily charter rate (DCR) in SEA to US$103,000 per day, higher than even the Middle East average DCR.

“The highest DCRs in SEA have been signed by Borr Drilling, at US$150k,000 per day to US$170,000 per day,” it said.

CGS-CIMB said it expects oil and gas services provider to deliver core net profit of RM23 million in fourth quarter of financial year 2023 (4Q23F), which will be released on Feb 27.

“This will be the strongest quarterly performance in four years, as utilisation rates rose to 92%, and DCRs may average US$95,000 per day against 4Q22’s US$78,000 per day.

“Its strong performance will likely continue into 1Q24F, as we estimate its utilisation to reach 98%. Velesto guided recently for FY24F utilisation at 80 to 85%, against an estimated 83% for FY23F.

“For now, we have pencilled in a top-down assumption of 80% utilisation; anything above that will be a bonus, in our view,” it said.

The stockbroking firm said Velesto has so far only secured utilisation of up to 63% for FY24F but it could exceed 90% in 4Q23F and 1Q24F.

“We are confident that the group will be able to achieve its 80 to 85% guidance because domestic clients have already booked the Naga 2 and Naga 4 for additional drilling work in Malaysia.”

The announcement of the precise job details to be made only after the new two-year umbrella contract is firmed up.

It added: “Velesto is also negotiating additional work for the Naga 5 in Malaysia or in SEA.”

CGS-CIMB said another potential re-rating catalyst is for Velesto to announce a more lucrative umbrella contract soon.

“We are forecasting average DCRs of US$112,000 per day in FY24F, and US$131,000 per day in FY25F, up from US$90,000 per day in FY23F.

“These rate increases are possible because we believe Velesto has most likely renegotiated its two-year umbrella contract with Petronas Carigali effective 7 Feb 2024. We are waiting for an official Bursa announcement from the group,” it said.

It added potential rerating catalysts include strong 4Q23F and 1Q24F net profits, and the start of a new two-year umbrella contract from Feb 2024F at a higher DCR of US$130,000 per day, which is up from US$105,000 per day last year, according to its estimation.

“Downside risks include continued increases in costs, and for the umbrella contract DCR to come in at the lower end of Velesto’s US$125,000 per day to US$135,000 per day guidance.

“A material decline in oil prices, and the strategic reduction in offshore capex spending could also impact Velesto’s future prospects for earnings growth,” it added.

MIDF Remains Optimistic On IPI Growth For 2024

Malaysia’s IPI registered marginal contraction of -0.1%yoy in Dec-23 (Nov-23: +0.6%yoy), below ours and market expectations. The weaker IPI was due to sharper fall in output in the export-oriented sectors such as electrical equipment, refined petroleum products and chemicals. MIDF said it was expected, the trend closely followed the weaker export performance in the same month because manufacturing contributed more than two-thirds of the IPI calculation. By major sectors, the decline in IPI in Dec-23 was largely due to sharper output declines in the manufacturing sector (Dec-23: -1.4%yoy; Nov-23: -0.1%yoy) such as motor vehicles, apart from continued reduction in the production of E&E and petroleum products. In contrast, the drop was almost offset by the stronger growth in mining output (+3.6%yoy) and electricity generation (+4.6%yoy).

For the mining sector, sustained output growth was underpinned by stronger growth in natural gas production. The higher electricity generation continued to suggest electricity consumption continued to grow annually for the 8th consecutive month. With the weaker-than-expected growth in Dec-23, IPI only grew moderately by +0.9% in 2023 (2022: +6.7%), slightly below estimates of +1.1%. Nevertheless, we expect IPI growth will improve this year on the back of sustained growth in domestic demand and recovery in external trade.

The house said the moderate IPI growth in 2023 was expected due to the weakness in the trade-oriented industries. For 2024, MIDF says it foresees a recovery in the external demand and global manufacturing activities will support Malaysia’s IPI to grow stronger at +3.7% (2023: +1.1%). Continued growth in domestic demand will also support IPI growth this year. The house is optimistic looking at the stabilisation in manufacturing activities in Jan-24 as reported by the recent PMI reports.

However, MIDF says it is still concerned that IPI growth this year may be weighed down by downside risks such as sluggish economic recovery in China and possible recession in the US. Moreover, companies may relook at production plans if global trade activities are affected by worsening geopolitical tension and disruptions to trade flows

Michael Wong Returns With “Lonely Planet 2.0” World Tour In Bukit Jalil After A 5-Year Hiatus

Michael Wong (光良), the renowned Malaysian singer-songwriter, is making a highly-anticipated comeback with the “Lonely Planet 2.0” world tour after a 5-year hiatus. The concert is scheduled to take place on May 4th at 8pm in the iconic Axiata Arena Bukit Jalil, marking Michael’s return to the Malaysian stage after a five-year hiatus. This long-awaited homecoming promises to be an unforgettable event for fans who have eagerly awaited his return.

Following the release of his latest single earlier this year, Michael announced his intention to reconnect with his Malaysian fans, igniting a wave of anticipation and excitement throughout the country. Now, fans can rejoice as the Malaysia leg of the tour has been officially announced by the organiser, Star Planet.

But Malaysia is just one stop on Michael’s globe-trotting tour. The “Lonely Planet 2.0” tour will kick off on April 13th at the Suzhou Olympic Sports Center in China, with subsequent performances lined up in cities such as Wuhan, Beijing, Nanjing, and more. Each announcement of tour dates only adds to the mounting excitement among fans worldwide.

The anticipation for Michael’s return is palpable, as evidenced by the overwhelming demand for tickets to his Jakarta show scheduled for March 30th. The initial ticket launch saw a sold-out status on the very first day, prompting organisers to announce an additional show. This momentous occasion holds special significance as it marks Michael’s triumphant return to Indonesia after an absence of almost 13 years since his last performance in the city.

The “Lonely Planet 2.0” World Tour promises to be an unforgettable experience, as Michael Wong reconnects with his fans on a global scale. Audiences can look forward to a night filled with timeless music, cherished memories, and the unmistakable magic of one of Malaysia’s most iconic performers.

Hong Leong AM Declares Income Distribution Of RM449 Million

Hong Leong Asset Management Bhd has declared income distributions amounting to RM449 million for 19 funds, for the period commencing 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023.

Hong Leong AM is pleased to have upheld its commitment to deliver sustainable distribution yield to their investors throughout 2023. While market volatility and uncertainty is expected to persist in 2024 due to various macro events across the world, Hong Leong AM will remain focused on applying appropriate strategies to continuously deliver potential growth and opportunities to its investors.

In addition, as a recognition of the Company’s investment team, which has consistently achieved risk-adjusted performances relative to their peers^, 4 of Hong Leong AM’s EPF-Members Investment Scheme approved funds – Hong Leong Asia-Pacific Dividend Fund, Hong Leong Dividend Fund, Hong Leong Dana Makmur and Hong Leong Dana Maa’rof have collectively received 20 Refinitiv Lipper Fund Awards 2023 for both Malaysia and Global Islamic category.

The funds are distributed through Hong Leong AM offices and Hong Leong Bank Berhad’s branches nationwide, while selected funds are also distributed via HLAM’s agency force nationwide and digitally via HL iSmart Invest.

MOH Issues Caution On Energy Stick Use

In response to growing concerns over the online sale of unregistered health products, the Ministry of Health Malaysia (KKM) has launched investigations into the distribution of nasal aspirators, popularly known as ‘Energy Sticks,’ suspected to be unregistered.

Preliminary investigations have uncovered that these products are not registered and thus are required to comply with the regulations outlined in the Dangerous Drugs Act 1952. Subsequently, KKM, through its Pharmacy Enforcement Division, will be taking proactive monitoring and enforcement measures against sellers found to be advertising and selling these products online. Notably, initial screenings on prominent e-commerce platforms like Shopee and Lazada have revealed advertisements and sales of these products by both local and foreign sellers.

The sale of unregistered health products contravenes Regulation 7(1)(a) of the Control of Drugs and Cosmetics Regulations 1984. Individuals found guilty may face fines not exceeding RM 25,000 or imprisonment not exceeding 3 years, or both for the first offense, and subsequent offenses may incur fines not exceeding RM 50,000 or imprisonment not exceeding 5 years, or both. Similarly, companies found committing the offense may face fines up to RM 50,000 for the first offense and up to RM 100,000 for subsequent offenses.

Consumers are strongly advised to verify the registration status of health products before making a purchase. They should ensure that products bear a hologram sticker and a Product Registration Number (MAL). Verification can be done by visiting the National Pharmaceutical Regulatory Agency (NPRA) website or by contacting the National Pharmaceutical Call Center. Additionally, the NPRA Product Status application is available for download on the Google Play Store for easy verification.

KKM reaffirms its commitment to safeguarding public health and welfare through continuous monitoring and enforcement efforts. The public is urged to report any complaints or provide information regarding the sale of unregistered products to the Pharmacy Enforcement Division via various channels, including the KKM website, the Public Agency Complaint Management System portal, nearby Pharmacy Enforcement Branches, or through designated hotlines.

KLCCP’s Outlook Promising, Surpasses Pre-Covid Days; Kenanga Raises TP

KLCCP Stapled Group Bhd’s outlook promising for the upcoming quarters, with businesses now surpassing pre-pandemic levels, according to Kenanga Research.

“Year-on-year (YoY), its retail footfall climbed by 30%, suggesting that consumer spending remains strong,” it said in its Results Note today (Feb 8).

The research house said it expected KLCCP’s forward earnings will continue to be supported by the office division’s high occupancy rate, retail division’s 10 new tenants, the hotel operation’s occupancy ratio picking up the management services’ improved
performance.

“The office division achieved 100% occupancy rate at end-Dec 2023, given its long-term, locked-in leases with high-quality tenants while the hotel operation’s occupancy ratio picking up from 55% in 4QFY23 from 52% in 3QFY23.

“Additionally, management services’ improved performance in 4Q with 7% rise in transient and 16% increase in car park customers.

“Concurrently, the group has expressed interest in exploring global assets to add to its portfolio but prioritizing the enhancement of local operations, while also considering venturing into the healthcare sector.”

Kenanga said KLCCP’s FY23 results met its expectations but surprised with higher-than-expected distributions.

“Its FY23 core net profit of RM709.4 million met our forecast but missed the consensus estimate by 6%.

“That said, it declared a final distribution per unit (DPU) of 14.4 sen, with full-year FY23 numbers at 40.5 sen at 92% payout which beat our expectation of 36.3 sen for FY23.

“In FY23, it experienced growth in its core businesses, particularly, management services and the hotel segment,” it said.

Therefore, the research house maintained its FY24F earnings forecasts, OUTPERFORM call and raised its target price (TP) by 3% to RM8 from RM7.73, as it rolled over its valuation base year to FY25F with a DPU of 44 sen.

“This is against an unchanged target yield of 5.5%, derived from a 1.5% yield spread above our 10-year Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) assumption of 4.0%).

“Our distribution is based on a 95% payout, in line with historical averages. Meanwhile, we introduce our FY25F numbers,” it added.

YoY, its FY23 revenue of RM1.62 billion grew by 11% largely due to its hotel operations with higher occupancy of 66% from international
guests, that were mainly from China, Singapore, and UK, as well as management services as car park income increased from the higher footfall within its portfolio.

On the flipside, operating margins eased to 63%, lower by 2.7ppts as utilities and maintenance costs picked up across all segments.

“We like KLCC for its prime asset portfolio anchored by its office towers in the KLCC area and Suria KLCC mall. Its target markets could be less affected by inflationary headwinds, proven by the increase in moving annual turnover (MAT) reported by the group.

“Additionally, the above-mentioned acquisition could support stronger distribution returns for yield seekers, up to 6%. There is no adjustment to our TP based on ESG given a 3-star rating as appraised by us,” the research house said.’

The risks to Kenanga’s call include bond yield expansion, lower-than-expected rental reversions, and lower-than-expected occupancy rates.

Solarvest Borneo Unveils Green Energy Testbed In Collaboration With CENTEXS And Huawei Malaysia

Solarvest Borneo Sdn Bhd, a subsidiary of Solarvest Holdings Berhad, has partnered with the Centre for Technology Excellence Sarawak (CENTEXS) and Huawei Technologies (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd to unveil a state-of-the-art green energy testbed. This initiative, located at CENTEXS’ Headquarters in Santubong, Kuching, Sarawak, aims to drive innovation in sustainable energy technologies and nurture local talent within the region.

The newly launched testbed features cutting-edge capabilities in wind turbine technology, electricity generation from hydrogen, micro-hydropower, and building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) systems. This collaboration marks a significant milestone in Sarawak’s journey towards a greener future and aligns with the state government’s efforts to advance the development of a new green energy agenda.

Solarvest Borneo, Director, Mr. Leon Liew Chee Ing, highlighted the strategic importance of exploring the potential of hydrogen in Malaysia, in line with the National Energy Transition Roadmap (NETR) and Sarawak’s Hydrogen Economy Roadmap. He emphasised the role of local talent in propelling future advancements in clean energy, stating that Solarvest Borneo, CENTEXS, and Huawei Malaysia are committed to nurturing a skilled workforce through education and skill development.

The launch event, witnessed by the Premier of Sarawak, The Right Honourable Datuk Patinggi Tan Sri (Dr) Abang Haji Abdul Rahman Zohari bin Tun Datuk Abang Haji Openg, underscored the commitment of all parties involved to drive innovative breakthroughs in the clean energy industry. The opening of the Green Energy Gallery showcased a comprehensive green energy ecosystem, aimed at raising public awareness and fostering a sustainable tomorrow.

CENTEXS, Chief Executive Officer, Dato Haji Syeed Mohd Hussien Wan Abdul Rahman, emphasised the hands-on training opportunities provided by the new testbed, which will enrich the learning experiences of students and ease their transition into the renewable energy sector workforce. He praised the collaboration as a valuable platform for skills enhancement and practical training across various energy applications.

Huawei Malaysia Digital Power Business, Vice President, Mr. Chong Chern Peng reiterated Huawei Malaysia’s commitment to driving clean energy adoption with innovative technologies. He expressed confidence in helping build a better tomorrow for Sarawak and emphasized the company’s dedication to training local talent in green energy technology.

This collaboration underscores Solarvest’s 5-Year Strategic Roadmap to transform into a regenerative clean energy expert, with ventures into new sustainable solutions. With the unveiling of the green energy testbed, Solarvest Borneo, CENTEXS, and Huawei Malaysia are set to lead the charge towards a more sustainable future for Sarawak and beyond.

Ringgit Opens Lower Against U.S. Dollar

Closeup of Malaysia Ringgit currency notes and coins

The ringgit opened lower against the firmer US dollar on Thursday as US equities continued to perform favourably, said an analyst. 

At 9.37am, the ringgit stood at 4.7630/7665 against the greenback compared to Wednesday’s closing rate of 4.7570/7645. 

The S&P 500 index inched closer towards 5,000 points, while the 10-year US Treasury saw a lower yield of 4.093%, said Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid. 

He said this suggests positive demand from investors, amidst the US Federal Reserve’s stance that rates may not be reduced so soon. 

“On that note, it remains highly uncertain that this will translate into [a] stronger ringgit, although technical signs are at oversold, a situation where correction is likely to occur. 

“At best, we believe the ringgit would linger around RM4.76 against the US dollar,” he told Bernama. 

He said the focus Thursday would be on whether China’s consumer price index (CPI) would record a negative print for the fourth month in a row. 

“If that is the case, it could raise the question of whether China’s government would up their game to increase the economic stimulus to stimulate economic activities,” he said. 

Meanwhile, the ringgit traded lower against a basket of major currencies, except against the Japanese yen where it rose to 3.2137/2163 from 3.2159/2212 at Wednesday’s close.

It depreciated against the British pound to 6.0152/0196 from 6.0095/0190 and slipped versus the euro to 5.1326/1364 from 5.1233/1314 previously.

The local note was also traded lower versus other Asean currencies.

The ringgit declined against the Singapore dollar to 3.5460/5489 versus 3.5415/5474 on Wednesday and was easier versus the Thai baht at 13.3676/3819 from 13.3650/3917.

It was also lower against the Indonesian rupiah at 304.5/305.0 compared to 304.2/304.8 at the close on Wednesday and slipped versus the Philippines’ peso to 8.51/8.53 from 8.50/8.52 previously. – Bernama

Indulge In Coastal Heritage Dinner Buffet At Renaissance Kuala Lumpur’s Evolution Restaurant

With the return of Evolution, Kuala Lumpur’s restaurant scene is set for a culinary renaissance. Set against the backdrop of Renaissance Kuala Lumpur Hotel & Convention Centre, Evolution invited diners on a gastronomic adventure with its Coastal Heritage buffet spread, promising a dining experience like no other.

Embracing the cultural heritage of the neighbourhood, the Coastal Heritage buffet at Evolution offered oceanic delights. From the freshest Seafood on Ice to the indulgent Oyster Bar and the aromatic Charcuterie Platter, every dish is a testament to the rich coastal flavors that define the region. Dive into homemade pasta, savor the fragrant Nasi Hujan Panas, and indulge in specialties like Flower Crab Biryani and Mussel Masak Lemak, all prepared with a touch of homegrown inspiration.

The Coastal Heritage dinner buffet will be available from March 12 to April 9, 2024, from 6:30 PM to 10:00 PM, providing ample opportunity for guests to enjoy this culinary journey. And to sweeten the deal, Renaissance Kuala Lumpur Hotel & Convention Centre is offering an exclusive early bird discount of 20% until February 29, 2024, and a 10% discount from March 1 to 9, 2024.

DBS, Earnings Growth Peaked Not So For Yields

DBS reported its full year earnings, while earnings growth peaked not so for yields says Maybank IB. DBS 2023 earnings were marginally ahead of street, however, levers such as loan growth, fee income and large general provision overlays should allow the Group to keep earnings supported at current levels. Its shift to deliver higher base dividends, bonus share issues and potential special dividend increases capital returns visibility and dividend yield certainty, amidst an environment where risk free rates are set to fall.

Rising funding costs and potential policy rate cuts could drive NIMs to tighten further, in our view. For every 1bps cuts, NII is set to fall by SGD9-10m, according to Management. While loans were flat YoY, the house expects the pace to pick up to +3.4% YoY in 2024E supported by better growth prospects globally. Separately, 4Q23 NoII was a bright spot, rising +20% YoY. Fee income (+28% YoY) made a comeback with wealth management and cards showing improvements. Management claims momentum is improving so far in 2024. Lower rates could be a positive catalyst as wealth AUM gets deployed to higher fee products. Overall, we have kept 2024-25E estimates largely unchanged until better clarity appears on macro momentum. Asset quality well supported. Expect higher SP New NPL formation came off -43% QoQ in 4Q23.

Maybank said the management claims there is limited sectoral stresses. Commercial real estate is still a risk. The Group’s exposure is ~21% of gross loans. However, 60% is in Singapore where the subsector is resilient. HK is ~18% where exposure is to high end corporates and developers. The US and European exposure is 10%, which is mostly to network customers from Singapore. With portfolio LTV of <50%, DBS has not had to take any valuations adjustments. We expect credit charges to rise to 17bps in 2024E (vs. 14bps) from higher specific provisions taking into account the higher interest rate environment. Increasing shareholder returns.

Maybank IB maintain a BUY call as dividends was above expectations with quarterly payments increased by SGD0.06. This implies a +13% YoY increase in 2024E dividend. Taking into account the boost from the proposed 1-for-10 bonus issue, 2024E dividends should be 24% YoY higher. These moves are welcome and increases returns visibility and yield certainty. Despite this, the house estimates a 2024E CET1 of 14.3% – well above regulatory minimums. This gives further capital return opportunities, in our view, including special dividends going forward.

Messi Stokes The Wrath Of China

Chinese state media, Hong Kong politicians and fans swiftly condemned Argentine player Lionel Messi’s participation in a Japan match on Wednesday (Feb 7) after staying on the bench just days earlier in a highly anticipated match in Hong Kong.

Many in the financial hub were dismayed on Sunday when the 36-year-old did not come onto the field during a much-hyped Inter Miami match to a sell-out crowd with fans demanding answers and a refund.

Miami head coach Gerardo “Tata” Martino said Messi was deemed unfit to play in Sunday’s match in the Hong Kong friendly.

China’s state-controlled Global Times said Messi’s absence posed many questions on the differential treatment for Hong Kong.

“The match in Hong Kong became the only one in Messi’s six pre-season friendly matches on this trip where he was absent. The situation … has magnified these doubts and suspicions on the integrity of Inter Miami and Messi himself.”

Some mainland fans travelled 12 hours from Xinjiang to Hong Kong to see Messi, the Global Times wrote, with the disappointment of the government and fans “entirely understandable. The impact of this incident has far exceeded the realm of sports”.

Messi apologised to his Chinese fans on Weibo, a Chinese platform similar to X, just ahead of the Japan game on Wednesday, saying it was a real shame he was not able to play in Hong Kong due to an injury.

“Anyone who knows me knows that I always want to play … especially in these games where we travel so far and people are excited to see our games. Hopefully we can come back and play a game in Hong Kong,” he wrote in Chinese and Spanish.

The match in Hong Kong drew 40,000 fans, with spectators paying up to nearly HK$5,000 (US$640) per ticket. In Tokyo, entire blocks of seating at the Japan National Stadium remained unoccupied, with just 28,614 tickets sold.

Hong Kong’s Culture, Sports and Tourism Bureau said in a statement that, like the fans, it was very disappointed that Messi could not play in Hong Kong due to injury.

“However three days later, Messi was able to play actively and freely in Japan … The government hopes the organisers and teams can provide reasonable explanations.”

Sports lawmaker Kenneth Fok said the incident “sprinkled salt wounds” on Hong Kong fans, while senior government advisor Regina Ip wrote on X that “Hong Kong people hate Messi, Inter-Miami and the black hand behind them, for the deliberate and calculate snub to Hong Kong”.

Reuters

International SOS Issues Travel Safety Tips For Chinese New Year Holiday

With the approach of the 2024 Chinese New Year, a surge in both domestic and international travel is expected, raising concerns about health and safety risks amidst the festivities. In anticipation of this peak travel period, International SOS, the world’s leading health and security risk services company, has released essential travel safety tips to ensure the wellbeing of travelers.

The festive season brings a significant increase in travel, with millions of vehicles expected to use highways nationwide and a rise in outbound travel bookings compared to previous years. International SOS Singapore and Malaysia Assistance Centers, Medical Director Dr. Chan Yanjun emphasised the importance of vigilance, especially with cross-state travel making a comeback and the popularity of winter sports and warm-weather destination holidays. Travelers are urged to pay attention to weather changes and organisations are encouraged to provide remote medical support services for employees.

Asia at International SOS, Security Director Assistance, Noriko Takasaki, highlighted the need for heightened security awareness during the holiday period. Security risks such as extreme weather, criminal activity, and crowd accidents must be taken into consideration. Takasaki stressed the importance of pre-trip measures, maintaining situational awareness, and establishing clear communication mechanisms for real-time alerts and support in unexpected security situations.

International SOS provides eight key travel safety tips for the Chinese New Year holiday:

  1. Preventing Common Diseases:
    Maintain good personal hygiene practices and consider vaccinations to reduce the risk of viral respiratory infections.
  2. Prevention of Injury:
    Assess risks during sports or activities and use protective gear to prevent accidental injury.
  3. Road Safety Awareness:
    Stay informed about traffic regulations, road conditions, and driving habits in destination countries.
  4. Attention to Extreme Weather:
    Monitor weather alerts and take necessary precautions for potential disruptions.
  5. Avoid Cultural Conflicts:
    Respect local customs and traditions, particularly when visiting religious sites.
  6. Prioritise Health and Security Risks When Traveling Abroad:
    Stay informed about infectious diseases and avoid areas of social unrest.
  7. Maintain Flexibility in Travel Plans:
    Be prepared for unexpected situations and allocate extra time for travel.
  8. Enhance Mental Health Resilience:
    Offer access to employee assistance programs or mental health professionals to address travel-related stress.

As travelers gear up for the Chinese New Year holiday, these safety tips from International SOS serve as a valuable resource for ensuring a safe and enjoyable travel experience. By prioritising health and security, organisations and individuals can minimise risks and maximise the holiday festivities.

Airlines Must Be 51% Owned By Local Companies

The Transport Ministry has met with the new potential investors of MYAirline Sdn Bhd and said any commercial decision is entirely up to the management.

Transport Minister Anthony Loke said that as far as the government is concerned, they have to comply with all processes in terms of regulations, in terms of applying to Malaysian Aviation Commission (Mavcom) and the Civil Aviation Authority of Malaysia (CAAM).

“All their applications must be submitted according to normal procedures for technical approvals. However, at this point in time we have not heard of any application from them yet,” he told the media after sending off Batik Air’s passengers en route to Sibu from the KL International Airport here today.

Loke also said he has made it clear to MYAirline that the country’s aviation policy stated 51 per cent must be owned by local companies while any foreign entity can only own up to 49 per cent.

On Jan 12, it was reported that MYAirline had secured and signed a sale and purchase agreement (SPA) in late December 2023 with an investor from the Middle East.

This would allow MYAirline to work towards resuming operations by the middle of this year.

To recap, MYAirline flew over one million passengers domestically as of June 26, 2023, a few months after its inaugural flight as a low-cost carrier in Malaysia.

The airline had an average load factor of 91 per cent and flew eight Airbus A320-200 aircraft till October 12, delivering a healthy on-time performance beyond 90 per cent.

On October 12 last year, MYAirline made a sudden announcement that it had suspended its operations effective on that day, citing financial pressure as the reason.

Menteri Besar Selangor Inc Appoints New CEO

Menteri Besar Selangor (Incorporated) chief operating officer Saipolyazan M Yusop has been appointed as the company’s new chief executive officer (CEO) effective immediately. 

He takes over from Norita Mohd Sidek, who had served in the top position since August 2020.

In a statement, MBI welcomed Saipolyazan’s appointment and expressed confidence that his credibility and corporate experience of over 30 years will lead the firm to a higher level.  Prior to his appointment in MBI, Saipolyazan held several key positions in various companies and government-linked corporations in and outside Selangor. Among others, he had served in Petronas, Telekom Malaysia, Celcom Axiata and a top construction conglomerate in the Middle East. 

He then took up a more prominent role when appointed as the CEO of the Selangor Zakat Board in June 2019 and Executive Jet Aviation Sdn Bhd in January 2023. 

Saipolyazan is also currently a member of the Energy Commission. 

In its statement, MBI extended its highest appreciation to Norita for her dedicated service throughout her more than 3 years as the company’s CEO. 

“Under her leadership, MBI has undergone a phase of administrative and governance enhancement to the highest level through various initiatives,” it said. 

His appointment comes directly from the Menteri Besar, Dato Amirudin Shari.

Hang Seng Index Futures: Rejected By The 50-Day SMA Line; Bearsish Setup Remains Intact

After crossing above the 20-day SMA line, the HSIF rebound was rejected by the 50-day SMA line. Yesterday, the index opened at 16,184 pts.

RHB Retail Research in a note today (Feb 8) said it rose to the day’s high of 16,455 pts, then fell to the day’s low of 16,059 pts. It closed at 16,084 pts and charted a bearish candlestick.

In the evening, the index retraced and last traded at 16,024 pts. The long upper shadow shows that the 50-day SMA line remains as an overhead resistance.

The medium-term SMA line is trending lower, indicating that the technical set-up is still bearish. Meanwhile, the index also failed to cross above the 16,400-pt resistance. In a bearish set-up, the resistance will be strong.

In the event the index falls below the 20-day SMA line, it may resume its downtrend.

For now, the bears still have the upper hand as 17,000-pt resistance remains intact. Pending the resumption of a downward movement, they make no change to their negative trading bias.

According to RTT News, the Hong Kong stock market headed south again on Wednesday, one day after ending the two-day slide in which it had fallen more than 50 points or 0.5 percent. The Hang Seng Index now rests just above the 16,080-point plateau although it’s expected to bounce higher again on Thursday.

The global forecast for the Asian markets is mixed to higher and is likely to be driven by earnings news. The European markets were down and the U.S. bourses were up and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.

The Hang Seng finished modestly lower on Wednesday following losses from the financials and properties and a mixed picture from the technology stocks.

For the day, the index lost 54.98 points or 0.34 percent to finish at 16,081.89 after trading between 16,035.43 and 16,408.15.

Among the actives, Alibaba Group and Haier Smart Home both slumped 1.45 percent, while Alibaba Health Info soared 4.95 percent, ANTA Sports sank 0.78 percent, China Life Insurance eased 0.11 percent, China Mengniu Dairy tumbled 2.15 percent, China Resources Land plunged 4.07 percent, CITIC slid 0.25 percent, CNOOC lost 0.68 percent, Country Garden added 0.36 percent, CSPC Pharmaceutical retreated 1.63 percent, Galaxy Entertainment dipped 0.23 percent, Hang Lung Properties skidded 1.23 percent, Hong Kong & China Gas fell 0.52 percent, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China shed 0.77 percent, JD.com tanked 2.59 percent, Lenovo plummeted 4.25 percent, Li Ning declined 1.58 percent, Meituan weakened 1.44 percent, New World Development dropped 0.94 percent, Techtronic Industries rallied 2.02 percent, Xiaomi Corporation stumbled 1.55 percent, WuXi Biologics surged 5.62 percent and Henderson Land was unchanged.

The lead from Wall Street is solid as the major averages opened higher on Wednesday and remained in the green throughout the day as the Dow and S&P both hit record closing highs.

The Dow climbed 156.00 points or 0.40 percent to finish at 38,677.36, while the NASDAQ rallied 147.65 points or 0.95 percent to end at 15,756.64 and the S&P 500 gained 40.83 points or 0.82 percent to close at 4,995.06.

The strength on Wall Street reflected recent upbeat economic data, which is still seen as a positive even though it reduces the chance of an interest rate cut next month.

Also supporting the markets were solid earnings news from the likes of solar inverter maker Enphase Energy (ENPH) and auto giant Ford (F).

In U.S. economic news, the Commerce Department released a report showing the U.S. trade deficit widened in December.

Crude oil futures settled higher on Wednesday after official data showed a notable drop in gasoline stockpiles last week in the U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for March ended higher by $0.55 at $73.86 a barrel, gaining for a third straight session.

China Jan PPI Inches Lower, While CPI Edges Up

Pic: China Daily

China’s producer price index which measures costs for goods at the factory gate for the month of January 2024 went down 2.5 percent year on year, the National Bureau of Statistics said Thursday.

However, the country’s consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, edged up 0.3 percent month on month in January 2024, official data showed Thursday.

Global ESG Sukuk Outlook 2024

Outstanding ESG sukuk expanded by 56.8% yoy to reach USD36.1 billion globally at end-2023 (all currencies). Fitch Ratings says about 66.2%(USD23.9 billion) of all outstanding ESG sukuk was in hard currency, mostly US dollars. In 2023, ESG sukuk issuance totalled USD10.5 billion (down 4.6% yoy), with issuance from the UAE most common at 41%, followed by Malaysia (28%), Saudi Arabia (21%), and Indonesia (10%). ESG sukuk made up 4.3% of global outstanding sukuk at end-2023.

Fitch rated more than 85% of the global hard-currency ESG sukuk, or USD20.5 billion outstanding, at end-2023 (up 36.5% yoy). ESG sukuk are a sizeable 11.8% of all outstanding Fitch-rated sukuk. About 75.4% of Fitch-rated ESG sukuk were from the Middle East, followed by Asia (22.9%) and Europe (1.7%). Saudi Arabia is the source of the highest share (45%) of Fitch-rated ESG sukuk, followed by the UAE (31%). Fitch rates ESG sukuk using Fitch’s Sukuk Rating Criteria. The credit rating of ESG sukuk is driven solely by the originator’s rating and not the use of proceeds, similar to other sukuk or bonds.

As for geographical footprint, Indonesia’s hard-currency ESG debt mix was 56% sukuk, with the rest in bonds, followed by Malaysia (52% sukuk), and the Gulf Cooperation Council (40% sukuk). ESG sukuk has become more diverse, including the issuance of the first UAE dirham-denominated green sukuk by First Abu Dhabi Bank.

In the UAE, the Higher Sharia Authority directed Islamic banks and windows to create separate sustainable businesses and activities within the existing business lines that include sustainable sukuk issuances and financing. In addition, the Dubai Financial Services Authority waived regulatory fees on ESG listings on Nasdaq Dubai for 2024. A sustainable finance framework was unveiled in Oman, with plans to issue green, social and sustainable sukuk and bonds. The proceeds will be used to fund and refinance renewable energy projects, aiming to reduce dependency on fossil fuels and to attract ESG investors. In Malaysia, the tax deduction given on the issuance cost of Sustainable and Responsible Investments sukuk has been extended to 2027. These initiatives could help boost ESG debt issuance in the near term.

Green Assets Scarcity: The scarcity of sustainable projects or green assets obstruct some sovereigns and corporates from issuing ESG sukuk, and instead they issue non-ESG sukuk or bonds. While ESG issues may not always have a pricing advantage, they often widen issuers’ investor bases through attracting ESG-sensitive investors.

Outlook: We expect the ESG sukuk market to cross 7.5% of the global outstanding sukuk in the coming three to four years. Growth is likely to be supported by issuers’ funding diversification plans, so as to satisfy international ESG investors’ mandates, and by government sustainability initiatives.

Fitch says it forecasts both lower oil prices (2024F: USD80/bbl; 2025F: USD70) and interest rates (US policy rate 2024F: 4.75%; 2025F: 3.5%), which could also drive debt issuance, including ESG sukuk.

Oil Edges Up With Slim Progress In Gaza Peace Talks

Oil prices rose on Thursday after Israel rejected a ceasefire offer from Hamas, as talks continued to try to end the Gaza conflict and wider Middle East tensions that have kept the market on edge since October.

Signs of solid U.S. fuel demand also bolstered the market’s upward trend this week.

Brent crude futures were up 22 cents, or 0.28%, at $79.43 a barrel at 0132 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 19 cents, or 0.26% to $74.05 a barrel.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected Hamas’ latest offer for a ceasefire and return of hostages held in the Gaza Strip, but U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said there was still room for negotiation toward an agreement.

A Palestinian Hamas delegation led by senior official Khalil Al-Hayya was due to travel on Thursday to Cairo for ceasefire talks with Egypt and Qatar.

On the demand side, a much stronger-than-expected drawdown in gasoline stocks in the U.S. reported on Wednesday continued to buoy the market.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported U.S. gasoline stocks fell by 3.15 million barrels last week compared with analysts’ estimates for a build of 140,000 barrels.

The drop in gasoline stocks and a 13% year-on-year rise in U.S. oil exports to a record 4.06 million barrels per day in 2023 “both indicate stronger demand for crude”, ANZ Research said in a note. – Reuters

US Trade Deficit With China Narrows To Lowest Since 2010

The US goods-trade deficit with China shrank to the smallest total since 2010 last year, reflecting a decline in imports from its geostrategic rival that will be welcomed in Washington.

The excess of imports over exports to China was US$279 billion (RM1.3 trillion), US Commerce Department data showed Wednesday. As a share of GDP, the goods deficit with China came in at just 1%, the lowest level since 2002.

Chinese imports have faced higher tariffs since former president Donald Trump imposed protectionist measures against the country during his administration. The Biden administration has also sought to reduce China’s role in US supply chains, and to bolster trade with strategic allies and partners instead.

“The data for 2023 have confirmed that the geographical pattern of US imports is shifting away from China and toward other partners,” said Maeva Cousin, a senior global economist at Bloomberg Economics. “Tariffs since 2018 have been a major driver of these shifts, but we are now seeing some early signs that US trade diversification might be broadening to other categories as well.”

By contrast with the trend with China, the US goods deficits with Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and others soared to new highs. 

Deficits also hit a record with Mexico, South Korea, Taiwan and India, underscoring the emerging shift in global trade flows as years of geopolitical tensions, rising tariffs and supply-chain snarls force a re-shuffling of manufacturing production around the world.

The shortfall with European nations threatens to meet with a response should Trump win re-election in November. His team is targeting the European Union for a potential slew of punitive trade measures designed to address long-standing grievances should he retake office, Bloomberg News reported.

A likely starting point in a second Trump administration would be the EU’s inclusion in a broad minimum 10% tariff, which would also be applied to China.

To be sure, the 2023 decline in imports from China can’t be pinned solely on tariffs and geopolitics alone. Fluctuating currencies, well-stocked US inventories and softer consumer demand also contributed. Production was also shifting long before the trade war, spurred by rising labour costs in China.

Another factor: the imposition of Trump’s tariffs likely led to US importers under-reporting how much they bought from China, according to 2021 analysis by Federal Reserve economists. – Bloomberg

ESG Sukuk Market Hits USD 36.1 Billion In 2023, Fitch Predicts Continued Growth

Outstanding ESG sukuk grew significantly in 2023, reaching USD36.1 billion globally at year-end (all currencies). Fitch Ratings expects the ESG sukuk market to cross 7.5% of global outstanding sukuk in the coming years (end-2023: 4.3%), with growth likely to be supported by issuers’ funding diversification plans, to satisfy international ESG investors’ mandates, and by government sustainability initiatives.

“Almost all Fitch-rated ESG sukuk are investment-grade,” said Bashar Al-Natoor, Global Head of Islamic Finance at Fitch. “In the medium term, we expect ESG sukuk growth to continue; however, this could be slowed by volatile debt capital markets, governments becoming less willing to pursue sustainable targets, and poor availability of qualified assets”. Fitch rated more than 85% of the global hard-currency ESG sukuk.

ESG sukuk issuance (USD10.5 billion) was down 4.6% yoy in 2023, with issuance from the UAE most common at 41%, followed by Malaysia (28%), Saudi Arabia (21%), and Indonesia (10%). ESG sukuk make up a sizeable 11.8% of all outstanding Fitch-rated hard-currency sukuk. About three quarters of Fitch-rated ESG sukuk were from the Middle East, followed by Asia (22.9%) and Europe (1.7%).

In the UAE, the Higher Sharia Authority directed Islamic banks and windows to create separate sustainable businesses and activities within the existing business lines that include sustainable sukuk issuances and financing. A sustainable finance framework was unveiled in Oman, with plans to issue green, social and sustainable sukuk and bonds. In Malaysia, the tax deduction given on the issuance cost of sustainable sukuk has been extended to 2027 from 2023. These initiatives could help boost ESG debt issuance in the near term.

Fitch rates ESG sukuk using its Sukuk Rating Criteria. The credit rating of ESG sukuk is driven solely by the originator’s rating and not the use of proceeds, similar to other sukuk or bonds.