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SC Extends Deadline For REITs Annual Reports To Four Months

Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) is a statutory body set up to regulate and develop the Malaysian Capital Market.

The Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) has announced a significant extension to the deadline for issuing Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) annual reports.

Previously set at two months after the financial year end, the new timeline now allows for a generous four-month window.

This adjustment brings the reporting timeline for listed REITs in line with that of public-listed companies (PLCs) on Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad (Bursa Malaysia), granting them equal time for annual report issuance.

The move aims to ensure consistency across both types of entities, recognising the similarities in content requirements.

Despite the extended timeline, unit holders of listed REITs can still expect to receive financial information within two months after the REIT’s financial year end through its quarterly announcements on Bursa Malaysia.

Next Question, Will Bank Of England Delay Rate Cuts?

Recent data from the UK suggests a brighter outlook, hinting that the technical recession experienced in the latter part of last year may have come to an end. The preliminary figures for February show a slight increase in the UK Composite PMI from 52.9 to 53.3, marking the highest reading since May of the previous year.

The data also indicates signs of upward pressure on prices, with the input price index reaching its highest level since last August, and output prices climbing to the highest level since July.

These encouraging figures are likely to prompt the Bank of England (BoE) to exercise caution, closely monitoring factors like shipping container traffic to evaluate the potential return of supply constraints that could impact inflation. BoE MPC member Megan Greene, who recently ceased voting for a rate hike, emphasized her reluctance to support a rate cut without clear evidence that inflation is not firmly entrenched.

Globally, the improved risk sentiment allows central banks, including the BoE, to adopt a patient approach. Positive developments continue, and there is a possibility of inflation reaching the 2% target in April.

OFGEM confirmed last Friday morning that the energy bill price cap will decrease by 12% in April, reaching GBP 1,690. Despite this positive news, Greene pointed out that wage growth in the UK remains considerably higher than in the US or Europe. If the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are delaying their first-rate cuts, the BoE is likely to follow suit, with the first cut fully priced for August in the UK.

While the pound should be benefiting more from the improved UK data and heightened risk appetite, concerns about growth persist and may be holding back GBP.

The GBP correlation with global equities has started to weaken but remains stronger than the USD/risk correlation, potentially leading to GBP strengthening if this risk appetite

Market commentary and analysis from Luca Santos, currency analyst at ACY Securities

PKNS Appoints Controversial Celebrity As Brand Ambassador

Perbadanan Kemajuan Negeri Selangor (PKNS) has appointed renowned actor and successful entrepreneur Datuk Rosyam Nor as its Entrepreneurship Ambassador, effective December 1, 2023. The appointment letter was presented by PKNS Deputy Chief Executive Officer (Corporate), Suhaimi Kasdon, at the PKNS Headquarters Building.

According to Suhaimi, Rosyam Nor was chosen not only for his prominent name in the entertainment industry but also for his extensive experience of nearly 20 years in entrepreneurship, particularly as a producer of agro films and retail.

“The appointment of Rosyam Nor as our spokesperson is seen as a means to better promote entrepreneurial activities conducted by the Entrepreneur Development Division (BPU) to entrepreneurs nationwide, particularly in Selangor,” Suhaimi said.

He emphasised the significant role of an entrepreneurship ambassador in attracting followers through active use of social media platforms and disseminating information about BPU programs through various digital channels.

Suhaimi further highlighted that Rosyam Nor’s appointment symbolises PKNS’s commitment, through BPU, to continue designing activities for entrepreneurs across the country to help them develop their respective businesses.

He mentioned plans for new programs and improvements to existing ones to ensure that all initiatives meet the current needs of entrepreneurs, aiming to create a progressive, competitive, and resilient society.

Rosyam Nor recently found himself embroiled in controversy following remarks made during a podcast. In the podcast titled ‘Hitam Putih Kehidupan’ and uploaded to the Suhan Channel on TikTok, Rosyam made statements regarding prostitution dens for foreign workers.

He suggested that such establishments are necessary facilities for these workers, many of whom leave their families behind to earn a living in Malaysia. Rosyam implied that these dens could serve as a means to curb and reduce crimes such as rape involving foreign workers.

These comments sparked outrage and drew varied reactions from netizens and the public. As the statements went viral, the actor issued an apology via his Instagram account. He expressed surprise at the controversy and apologized for any offense caused.

Rosyam Nor clarified that the remarks were made during a discussion on the podcast and urged individuals to watch the full video to understand the context. He emphasised that it was his personal opinion and encouraged people to think and judge for themselves.

AEON Could Face Sluggish Consumer Outlook For 2024

Aeon Co reported FY23 core PATANCI of RM120.5m, after excluding a one-time item of RM5.7m. This came in within and consensus’ full-year FY23 core PATANCI, which accounted for 102.7%/104.8% of /consensus’ projections said MIDF. The FY23 revenue also came in within street’s expectations of 100.4%/99.6%,respectively. The group reported a single-tier dividend of 4sen/share for 12MFY23 with a date to be determined later, in tandem with 4sen/share for 12MFY22.

On a yearly basis, revenue declined by -2.7%yoy to RM1.03b primarily due to lower sales in the retail segment, attributed to a high base effect. However, core PATANCI saw a significant increase of +31.5%yoy to RM35.9m, driven by an improved occupancy rate and effective rental renewal within the Property Management Services (PMS) revenue, as well as efficient cost management practices. Sequentially, the uptick in topline performance by +8.1%qoq can be attributed to heightened consumer spending during festive and year-end sales periods, and an improvement in the occupancy rate and rental revenue within the PMS segment. Consequently, core PATANCI more than doubled from RM14.9m in the 3QFY23 to RM35.9m in the 4QFY23.

Cumulatively, the group’s revenue declined marginally by -0.3%yoy to RM4.13b, primarily attributed to reduced revenue in the retail segment owing to a high base effect and partial store closures for renovations. However, improved occupancy rates and effective rental renewals in the PMS segment countered the decrease in retail sales, resulting in a +2%yoy increase in core PANTANCI to RM120.5m.

The house makes no changes to its FY24-25F earnings forecast, given that the FY23 core PATANCI came in within expectations. It has factored in the continuous weaker consumer sentiment in retail sales, and the potential effect of fiscal restructuring slated for introduction in FY24. These policies include low-value goods tax, high-value goods tax, increased services tax, and potential fuel subsidy rollouts, that may affect consumer discretionary income.

MIDF maintains its NEUTRAL call as it turned cautious on Aeon’s FY24F outlook. The house anticipates a sluggish consumer spending on discretionary items such as softline, hardline, and wellness, given the expected high inflationary pressure in 2024. On a positive note, it expects out-of-home consumption for food products within the retail segment to remain relatively robust, driven by resilient demand.

Additionally, higher fixed rental income from the PMS segment is anticipated to provide partial support against the backdrop
of weaker consumer sentiment for discretionary products. Downside risk/(re-rating catalyst) is weaker/(stronger)-than expected consumer sentiment that reduces/(increases) spending at retail and tenant stores, hence lowering/(increasing)
revenue

SC Extend Deadline For REITS To Submit AR

The Securities Commission Malaysia has announced an extension to the deadline for issuing a Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) annual reports from two months to four months.

The regulator in a statement said the new timeline allows for four months after its financial year end. This adjustment1 it said aligns the reporting timeline for listed REITs with that of public-listed companies on Bursa Malaysia Securities, granting them equal time for annual report issuance.

Recognising the similarities in content requirements, this move SC said ensures consistency across both types of entities. Despite the extended timeline, unit holders of listed REITs will still receive financial information within two months after the REIT’s financial year end through its quarterly announcements on Bursa Malaysia.

Auto Bavaria Sungai Besi Moves After 3 Decades

Sime Darby Auto Bavaria Sungai Besi, one of Malaysia’s oldest Auto Bavaria dealerships, will relocate to its new 4S dealership in Balakong come March.

With 27 years of operation under its belt, the dealership has represented the BMW brand with dedication, earning accolades like the BMW Excellence Club Award.

Former and current personnel will gather at Sungai Besi to mark the transition and celebrate the dealership’s legacy.

Auto Bavaria, Managing Director, Vi Thim Juan, emphasised the commitment to continue delivering top-notch service at the new Balakong location. “Recognising and commemorating the legacy and milestones of Auto Bavaria Sungai Besi is paramount as we wish to ensure the seamless transfer of our united spirit and dedication to our new Balakong dealership. Auto Bavaria patrons can be rest assured of our ongoing determination going the extra mile in providing the best in class service in the premium automotive industry.” he said,

The new Auto Bavaria Balakong will feature BMW, MINI, and BMW Premium Selection, boasting modern design, customer consultation amenities, and digital sales tools.

On-site BMW Geniuses will enhance the premium experience, while lush landscaping will complement the luxurious interior, welcoming visitors with visual appeal.

China’s Gen Z Have New Appetite For Handbags And They Are Not Branded!

A unique handbag culture has popped up in China as many young people are abandoning brand-name bags and turning to makeshift handbags such as reusable grocery bags or conference bags of various materials.

One representative example is the “Shenzhen bag,” which refers to various handbags, including canvas bags, paper bags, milk tea packages, etc., that citizens carry around daily in Shenzhen, south China’s Guangdong Province.

“I often carry cloth and paper bags to work because all kinds of stuff can be put into them. The bags also have good designs and quality, which are liked by my friends and colleagues too,” said Wang Xinyue, a resident of Shenzhen.

Makeshift handbags like the “Shenzhen Bags” are also quite common among young people in big cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. People find such bags practical, wearable, and fashionable, and they can be carried on the shoulder and back. Some bags even have thermal insulation coatings. They are suitable for both men and women and different age groups.

The emerging handbag culture reveals a new consumption attitude as young people in China begin to pursue a simple and shared consumption life, and consumers are no longer blindly pursuing brands as a status symbol but advocating a simple and low-carbon life.

In addition to the handbag, many young people, regardless of their monthly income, are living in a more relaxed and casual way, in line with a “good enough mentality.” Loose T-shirts, crocs, and canvas bags are basically their standard mode. These simple and pragmatic products have become trendsetters.

“Consumers today are becoming more mature and rational. They are pursuing smarter consumption, through rational consideration and calculation, to find the cheapest, practical, cost-effective shopping way,” said Wang Ning, a sociology professor at Southeast University.

Economists believe that Generation Z in China no longer blindly pursues brands and luxury goods or buys things for the sake of brand and status. Instead, they pay more attention to their own real needs, product quality, and consumption experience and prefer sharing behavior and second-hand transactions. They also advocate the concept of environmental protection and sustainable consumption.

A report released by database query platform TianYanCha.com confirms that rational and pragmatic consumption orientations such as “what I buy is what I really need” have become the mainstream choice.

The price-conscious Chinese consumers have also begun to place a greater emphasis on the abundance of the inner world. Driven by rational consumption, many young people will no longer scrimp and save because of a brand-name bag, and the money saved can be used to improve their inner self.

The new handbag culture has also brought business opportunities. Carrying the packaging bags of various goods as a handbag means moving advertising for the relevant goods. The phenomenon of “Shenzhen Bag” has also benefited paper bag manufacturers.

Fujian Nanwang environment protection sci-tech Co., Ltd., a paper packaging enterprise in east China’s Fujian Province, is one of those that benefited. The company achieved a revenue of 1.05 billion yuan (146 million U.S. dollars), selling more than 5 billion food packages alone, in 2022.

Mr DIY Group Relentless In Delivering Growth

Stock Pick: Mr DIY

Mr DIY Group’s (MRDIY) FY23 results met expectations on its solid sales and GPM recovery. Its current market valuation is undemanding, considering its fundamentals to deliver solid growth amidst a soft business environment, thereby outperforming most consumer sector peers.

RHB Investment Bank (RHB) said today that it likes MRDIY for its entrenched store network and effective business model to capture resilient consumer spending. A positive outcome of the ongoing civil servant salary scheme review is also a catalyst for the stock.

FY23 results in line

The group’s core net profit of MYR561m (+17% YoY) accounted for 99% and 100% of our and consensus forecasts. Post-results, RHB’s FY24-25F earnings are <3% lower after making housekeeping changes.

Correspondingly, their DCF-derived TP also drops to MYR2.20 (inclusive of a 4% ESG premium), which implies 33x P/E FY24F or close to the stock’s 3 year-mean.

Results review

YoY, FY23 revenue grew 9% to MYR4.4bn, mainly underpinned by the new store expansion (+175 outlets to total 1,261). SSSG was at -3.7%, being negatively impacted by ensuing demand elasticity on ASP increases and soft consumer sentiment.

Meanwhile, FY23 GPM expanded by 4ppt to 45.4% to reflect ASP increases and the normalisation in freight costs.

This more than offset the rise in operating costs and propelled the 17% YoY jump in FY23 PBT to MYR753m. QoQ, 4Q23 revenue and net profit rose 8% and 28% due to favourable year-end seasonality and product mix. FY23 DPS totalled 3.2 sen, which points to a higher 54% payout ratio vs FY22’s 48%.

Outlook

RHB expects its store network expansion to remain the primary growth driver. MRDIY plans to open 180 new stores in FY24, with a focus on the underpenetrated East Malaysia region, which currently generates higher average sales per store. In addition, the negative SSSG trend could be reversed, with the effect of demand elasticity likely to wear off.

On the other hand, Mr DIY has no plans to adjust ASPs, notwithstanding the meaningful hike in freight costs in recent months as the impact is manageable. Instead, RHB believes the company could be more aggressive with price promotions to induce consumer spending, leveraging on its healthy GPM.

Essentially, RHB expects that its proven business model of offering a wide range of products at competitive prices across convenient locations should continue attract sticky demand even if consumer sentiment remains subdued.

Downside risks to RHB’s recommendation include weaker-than-expected consumer sentiment and a sharp rise in operating costs.

Meanwile, Kenannga Investment Bank (Kenanga) said MRDIY’s FY23 results met their expectations. Its FY23 net profit grew 16% driven by store expansion, price hikes and lower freight cost. It is planning for a net addition of 180 stores in FY24.

Kenanga reduced their FY24F net profit forecast by 2% and trimmed their TP also by 2% to RM1.75 (from RM1.78) but maintain an OUTPERFORM call.

The company declared a 1.0 sen DPS in 4Q, bringing its full-year DPS to 3.2 sen (54% payout), up from 2.4 sen in FY22 (43% payout). YoY, its FY23 top line grew 9% propelled by a net addition of 175 stores (bringing its total store count to 1,255) and a 16% growth in transactions to 165m, partially offset by a 5% reduction in average basket size to RM26.40 (from RM27.80).

Its monthly sales per sq ft eased 4% to RM35.60, vs. RM37.20 in FY21-22, which could be attributable to the impact of carryover effect of previous price hikes, but still above RM34.50 in FY20.

Its gross profit rose by a steeper 20% as it gross margin expanded to 45.4% (from 41.3%) driven by lower freight costs and the price hikes.

Its monthly gross profit per sq ft hit a record RM16.10 in FY23 (vs. RM15.00 to RM15.40 over the past three years) for the same reasons.

However, its net profit only grew 16% due to higher staff and other operating costs, primarily associated with an upwards revision in the minimum wage in May 2022 and store expansion.

QoQ, its top line grew 8% underpinned by store expansion and a seasonally strong period on the back of festivities and school holidays.

Its net profit rose by a sharper 28% driven by margin expansion.

The key takeaways from the results’ briefing are as follows:

1. It is planning for a net addition of 180 stores in FY24. It believes that it will not be materially affected by the weak consumer spending sentiment amidst sustained high inflation at present given its value-for-money offerings of hardware and household products.

2. Its automated warehouse building has been completed, pending equipment installation by Apr 2024. The warehouse should fully come online by 3QFY24, which will bring about earnings and cash flows enhancement of about RM10m and RM20m, respectively, from reduced labour and warehouse rentals.

3. It intends to continue with quarterly dividend payouts at 50%-65% of its net profit backed by its strong financial standing and robust cash flows.

Valuations

RHB has also fine-tuned down their TP by 2% to RM1.75 (from RM1.78) based on unchanged targeted FY24F PER of 25x, which is at a 5x multiple premium to the average forward PER of its regional peers of 20x to reflect a relatively under-penetrated home improvement market in Malaysia. There is no adjustment to their TP based on ESG given a 3-star rating as appraised by Kenanga.

Agong Asserts No Tolerance For Political Disruption: ‘Wait For The Next Election’

The Yang di-Pertuan Agong, Sultan Ibrahim, has issued a stern reminder that he will not entertain any requests from parties attempting to disrupt the political stability of the country.

In his inaugural address after being sworn in as the 17th Yang di-Pertuan Agong on January 31st, Sultan Ibrahim emphasised that all parties must accept the reality and respect the Unity Government that has been formed.

His Majesty also stated that if any party wishes to engage in politics, they should wait for the upcoming elections.

“All parties are aware that my priority is the well-being of over 33 million Malaysians out there. Therefore, I hope all honorable members will focus on advocating for their interests, rather than for the interests of political parties or themselves,” said His Majesty.

Sultan Ibrahim made these remarks during the Opening Ceremony of the Third Session of the 15th Parliament at the Parliament Building today, which was attended by Members of the House of Representatives and Members of the Senate.

State And Federal Partner To Enhance Food Security

The Selangor Agricultural Development Corporation is actively identifying strategic locations for the development of high-impact agricultural projects and modern farming.

Its chief executive officer Mohamad Khairil Mohamad Razi said the project in collaboration with the Agriculture and Food Security Ministry is in line with efforts to enhance the state’s food commodity self-sufficiency rate.

This strategic cooperation is also aimed at strengthening the food security agenda under the Selangor Agro Transformation Plan framework, he added. 

“The allocation of RM24 million to be channelled by KPKM also involves several agricultural projects that have already kickstarted earlier this year. 

“These include the cereal maize cultivation projects in South Kuala Langat and Rawang spanning 300 acres and the dairy cattle farm development project at the PKPS Sungai Tengi farm.

“Other than these, we also have the high-value cash crop project at the Selangor Fruit Valley and the state’s food warehouse programme.” 

Meanwhile, Khairil said MAFS will be responsible for financing the initiatives and providing technical expertise, while PKPS will provide land and participants for all of these programmes. 

“Both organisations will also streamline their roles in the supply chain to ensure that products reach the people at affordable prices,” he said.

United Plantation Declares Special Dividend

United Plantation Berhad has announced a special single-tier dividend of 40 sen for the financial year ending 31 December 2023.

The entitlement date for the payout will be 26 April 2024 while payment will made on 14 May 2024. This also comes from the group’s final dividend announcement of 70sen for the financial year ending December 31.

Trading of the stock has halted pending this announcement today but has since resumed.

Red Sea Conflict Weighs On SWIFT Haulage: Kenanga Research

SWIFT Haulage’s FY23 results met forecasts but beat market expectations by 31%.

Kenanga Research, in a note today (Feb 26) said its FY23 core net profit declined 11% due to higher operating and interest costs, an inevitable price to pay for aggressive expansion

Kenanga has since cut their FY24 net profit forecast by 12% to reflect the escalating Red Sea conflict. Correspondingly, they reduced their TP by 13% to RM0.55 (from RM0.63) and maintain a MARKET PERFORM call.

SWIFT Haulage declared an interim NDPS of 0.8 sen vs 1.0 sen in 4QFY23, which bring full-year NDPS to 1.6 sen vs 1.0 sen in FY22, within expectations.

YoY, its FY23 revenue grew 4% driven by: (i) land transportation (+14%) with the increased transportation activities for petrochemical products, particularly for the Petronas group of companies (close to 20% of revenue) and (ii) warehousing and container depot (+19%) with the increased capacity utilisation by new customers. These more than offset the weaker container haulage (-4%) and freight forwarding (-14%) from the lower gateway volume toward the year-end particularly from Johor port.

However, its core net profit declined by 11% due to higher operating expenses (+11%) and finance costs (+27%) to support its warehouse expansion and green fleet initiatives, namely: (i) the addition of two units of fully-electric prime movers (c.RM1.5m each), and (ii) the full upgrade of its ICE prime mover fleet to the state-of-the-art fuel-efficient Euro 5 model from the Euro 3 model, expected to be completed by April 2024 (currently, SWIFT owns 1,546 prime movers).

QoQ, its 4QFY23 revenue rose 3% driven by higher demand for its land transportation (+9%) and warehousing and container depot (+7%), which more than offset the weaker contribution from its container haulage (0%) and freight forwarding (-7%). Its core net profit rose by a steeper 24% largely due to the utilisation of the investment tax allowance (ITA).

The key takeaways from its results briefing are as follows:

1. SWIFT echoed WPRTS’s guidance for a low single-digit container volume growth rate in FY24 as it believes the Red Sea conflict, if prolonged, will weigh on the Europe-Asian trade. Nonetheless, it is slightly more positive on FY25, guiding for a single-digit container volume growth rate. SWIFT depends more on gateway cargoes which have since weakened to a single-digit growth (vs. double-digit in 1HCY23). Thus, we lower our volume growth assumption to 2% (from 7%) in FY24 for its container haulage segment and introduce the same assumption for FY25.

2. Its new warehouse in Westport (260k sq ft) will commence operation on 1 Mar 2024 with 70% of space taken up by Sharp (distributor of white goods). Meanwhile, its Tebrau warehouses (200k sq ft) will onboard a new customer in Apr 2024, boosting its occupancy rate to 80% (from 60%). It hopes to lease the remaining 20% to Singapore-based businesses as their distribution hubs given the warehouse’s proximity to Tuas Second Link. However, occupancy of its PKFZ warehouse (178k sq ft) is unchanged at 30% from three months ago.

It is in active discussions with potential tenants. In terms of total warehouse space, we maintain our assumption of 1.7m sq ft in FY24F (+30%) and introduce an assumption of 1.9m sq ft (+17%) for FY25F.

Agong Orders Speaker To Suspend MPs Who Cross Limits

Yang di-Pertuan Agong, Sultan Ibrahim has granted permission to the Speakers of the House of Representatives and the Senate to take action against any member who crosses the line, including imposing a 14-day suspension from attending sessions.

Sultan Ibrahim reminded all Members of Parliament and Senate to demonstrate good conduct throughout the parliamentary sessions. He also has instructed all MPs and Senators to uphold decorum and discipline, as well as to use polite language.

“Parliament is where lawmakers gather to create rules and all Honourable Members are legislators themselves.

“It is unreasonable if the lawmakers themselves fail to follow the rules they have created. Therefore, I hope all members will set a good example when in the House.

“Maintain decorum and discipline and use polite language, rather than insulting others,” His Majesty said during the opening ceremony of the Third Session of the Fifteenth Parliament today.

CFOS President Calls For Extension Of Subsidised Airfare For Hari Raya Travel

Consumer Front of Sabah (CFOS) president Nordin Thani has advocated for an extension of the subsidised airfare scheme for one-way economy class flights from the peninsula to Sabah, Sarawak, and Labuan in conjunction with Hari Raya Aidilfitri. Thani proposed that the existing three-day offer, with a maximum fare of RM599, should be prolonged to two weeks to enable more residents from these regions to access reasonably priced flight tickets when returning to their hometowns for the festive season.

Thani highlighted the current unfairness faced by individuals who cannot take leave during the Hari Raya holidays, as they are compelled to work during the festival and can only travel back to their hometowns after the holidays have concluded.

He stressed the necessity of extending the maximum airfare price a week before and after Aidilfitri, totaling two weeks, to accommodate such individuals, a local media reported.

Thani urged the government to consider this proposal, emphasising its significance in providing the people of Sabah, Sarawak, and Labuan with the opportunity to purchase flight tickets at reasonable rates. He said that this extension would facilitate holiday planning and reservations during the festive period.

Transport Minister Anthony Loke Siew Fook had previously announced the government’s implementation of a maximum fare of RM599 for one-way economy class flights from the peninsula to Sabah, Sarawak, and Labuan, applicable for three days before Aidilfitri.

This initiative aims to assist individuals in traveling back to their hometowns for the festival in April. Any fare increase beyond the set maximum price during the specified period will be covered by government subsidies.

Loke affirmed that the Ministry of Transport would seek feedback from relevant stakeholders, including the Minister of Religious Affairs, to determine the exact date of Aidilfitri before finalising the implementation of the maximum ticket price.

Thani also raised concerns about potential misuse of the subsidised fare scheme by individuals from the peninsula for holiday purposes, thereby limiting the opportunity for residents of Sabah, Sarawak, and Labuan to return to their hometowns.

He urged airline operators to consider deploying larger aircraft with higher capacities to accommodate the anticipated surge in passengers traveling home for Hari Raya.

World Business Forum Debuts In Asean

10th edition of the World Business Forum Sydney

World of Business Ideas (WOBI) announced the inaugural World Business Forum that will be held at the Sands Expo & Convention Centre, Singapore on 10 & 11 July 2024.

Having made its mark in major business capitals such as New York City, Milan, Mexico City, Madrid, and Sydney, the World Business Forum brings together senior-level decision-makers from various industries to glean insights from the world’s most influential business thought leaders.

With over 20 successful editions worldwide, the World Business Forum is now making its debut in the ASEAN region with its first summit in Singapore.

Themed “Purpose: Navigating Uncharted Waters,” the conference will delve into the profound impact of purpose on individuals and organizations. Purpose serves as a catalyst, fostering innovation and creativity while empowering individuals to navigate today’s complex challenges.

WOBI, Director, Asia Pacific, WOBI, Daniel Hernandez, said, “ASEAN stands as a vibrant and dynamic region, boasting a wealth of world-class leaders and innovators. Our entry into this market underscores our unwavering commitment to serving diverse audiences globally, ensuring that the transformative insights and experiences of the World Business Forum resonate across borders.”

The World Business Forum Singapore will feature esteemed keynote speakers, including former Grand Slam Tennis champion Andre Agassi, former Hewlett-Packard (HP) Chairman and CEO Carly Fiorina, digital transformation expert Charlene Li, and business thinker Gary Hamel, among others.

Singapore, renowned as one of the leading business hubs in the ASEAN region and the world, is expected to attract high-level executives and professionals globally. The 2024 edition marks the 21st iteration of the World Business Forum, which has hosted influential leaders and thinkers such as James Cameron, Indra Nooyi, Muhammad Yunus, and Steve Wozniak in previous years.

Malakoff Corporation Widening Losses, Analysts See Fuel Impact As Possible Cause

Malakoff Corporation’s FY23 had a write-off 4Q23 results were again below expectations as net losses widened sequentially due to impairments and associate losses.

Maybank Investment Bank (Maybank IB) said a final dividend post release of audited accounts remains a possibility. Longer term however, they think Malakoff might need to review its dividend policy to fund new projects.

Maybank IB maintains SELL with a higher MYR0.55 (+6%) TP (SOPbased) following earnings revisions.

Results below expectation

Malakoff’s 4Q23 net loss widened to MYR357m (from MYR86m net loss in 3Q23, MYR42m net profit in 4Q22), bringing FY23 net loss to MYR837m (MYR302m net profit in FY22).

The QoQ deterioration was due to impairments (MYR96m) and the recognition of associate losses in relation to Al-Hidd.

No dividend was declared in the quarter, although a final dividend remains possible upon finalisation of the audited accounts in Mar 2024.

Fuel margins normalising Malakof

The breakdown of capacity and energy payments by plants remain unknown at the time of writing. The negative fuel margin incurred by the coal plants in previous quarters appears to have normalised.

Recall Malakoff had already made a round of impairments on 40% associate Al-Hidd in FY22.

Without the impairment and associate losses, Maybank IB estimates Malakoff would have been profitable in 4Q23.

Dividend policy unsustainable?

Maybank IB raised their FY24/25 net profit forecasts by 23%/12% respectively to incorporate latest run rates, and introduce FY26 forecasts. Their TP (based on a sum-of-parts with each entity valued on a DCF assuming 8.9% WACC) is raised to MYR0.55 (from MYR0.52 previously), and they maintain SELL.

Maybank IB thinks Malakoff might need to review its current dividend policy (currently >70% payout) in order to fund new projects.

Kitchen-Sinking Quarter

Malakoff Corp’s FY23 results beat expectations on a stronger turnaround in 4Q23 led by better fuel margin impact after stripping off sizeable impairment on its JV.

In its Malaysia Results Review note today, RHB Investment Bank Berhad (RHB) said they expect earnings recovery to continue in FY24 on normalisation of fuel margin impact.

RHB’s  call is largely premised on its decent dividend yield and resilient future earnings, anchored by the Alam Flora contribution and continuous plant stability.

Beat expectations

FY23 core net loss of MYR409m came in above expectations, accounting for 79% and 82% of RHB’s and Street full year losses, largely led by a turnaround in 4Q23, with a core profit of MYR70m in 4Q23 after three quarter of losses.

Results review

Malakoff Corp’s 4Q23 core profit was MYR70m after stripping off MYR96m impairment losses on its 40% owned foreign associate in Bahrain, AI- HIDD independent water and power project (IWPP) and also its respective one-off MYR333m impairment-led share of losses from this associate.

This is a strong QoQ turnaround from a core loss of MYR86m in 3Q23 due to positive fuel margin impact following the stabilisation of applicable coal prices.

Cumulatively, revenue decreased by 12% YoY in FY23 on the back of lower energy payments from Tanjung Bin Power (TBP) plant and the absence of GB3 power plant’s revenue following the expiry of the power purchase agreement (PPA) in Dec 2022, masking the higher contribution from the Tanjung Bin Energy (TBE).

The company recorded a core loss of MYR409m (vs a core profit of MYR671m in FY22), no thanks to the negative fuel margin impact and lower JV & associate contribution.

This, however, was partially cushioned by lower finance costs and depreciation charges.

Outlook

Despite substantial impairment losses made on AI-HIDD IWPP investment, which encapsulates a combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) and water desalination plant, Malakoff Corp is still operationally profitable and the impairment made assumed no extension on its concessions beyond 2027.

Meanwhile, RHB finally saw a positive fuel margin impact in 4Q23 and expect the magnitude of such impact to normalise following the stabilisation of coal prices.

TBP and TBE recorded a better equivalent availability factor (EAF) of 84% and 78% in FY23 (from 82% and 65% in FY22).

On the other hand, Alam Flora continued to contribute stable earnings of MYR83m in FY23 (+15% Y) due to increase in frequency of cleansing and solid waste activities under the concession business.

RHB reiterates BUY as the FY24F-25F earnings remain largely unchanged but RHB’s DCF-based TP is lifted to MYR0.77 from MYR0.72 after updating the latest net debt numbers and lowering our discount rate to 7.7% (from 7.9%) to factor normalisation of fuel margins.

RHB also ascribe a 10% discount, based on their ESG score of 2.5.

Downside risks in unscheduled outages, higher operating costs, and disruption in fuel supply.

IOI’s Recovery In Downstream Subsegment Continues

IOI Corp’s 2QFY24 core PATAMI of RM321.7m came in within estimates following the better contribution from its RBM segments said Kenanga. It added the operating profit also showed some stability at RM331.3m, with the margin inching by +2.5pts to 13.8%, due to elevated CPO and PK prices realised, and lower cost of production.

Overall, reported PATAMI meets but below consensus expectations Kenanga said, making up 62% and 44% of FY24F estimates respectively. The segment generated decent performance as the sales stabilized at RM107.7m, meanwhile operating profit remain reasonable at RM291.5m, stemming from an increase in estates productivity that generally had boost the FFB and CPO production. Operationally, the total planted area now reduced by -2.0%yoy to
172,760 ha due to replanting program carried out, but the harvestable area remained intact at 145,116 c. 83%. The FFB and CPO production, on the other hand, surged to 819,000 Mt and 184,000 Mt respectively due to the strengthened OER of 21.91% and the decent FFB yield of 5.7 tonne /mature ha recorded. Note that, average CPO and PK selling prices were lowered to RM3,736 per Mt (1H23; 4,294 per Mt) and RM2,085 per Mt respectively.

Its RBM subsegment saw some rebound, with profit of RM291.5m registered, which was quite excellent compared to its peers that mostly have small to negative margin for Oleo and refinery. Nonetheless, compared to 2QFY23 results, it was pretty much lower due to strong customer demand driven by global supply chain disruptions. In addition, Indonesia’s policy restricting CPO exports during that period also contributed to the better margins.

The house is of the view that its RBM profits volatility to persist on slower recovery in demand for palm-based products, however upstream company has shown substantial recovery in estate activity. Kenanga anticipates that the company’s robust recovery in harvesting activities will help it gain high CPO ASP attained during the El Nino event in 2QFY24,
paving the way for near-term profitability. Kenanga maintains a BUY call with a revised TP of RM4.50 based on PER of 27.8x nearly mean 5-year historical avg pegged on FY24F EPS of 16.2sen

Sime Darby Property Beats Expectations, Analysts Raises TP

Maybank Investment Bank (Maybank IB) said, today (Feb 26), Sime Darby Property’s (SIMEPROP) 4Q23 core net profit of MYR149m was above expectations.

FY23 locked-in sales of MYR3.3b were above management but in line with their expectations.

Management sets a lower MYR3b sales target for FY24 (-10%  YoY).

Maybank IB revised their FY24-25 earnings forecasts by -9% to +11% and raise their TP  to MYR0.86 (+11sen) on a higher 0.6x FY24E PBV (from 0.5x)  to reflect

SIMEPROP’s healthy balance sheet and large exposure in the industrial and land property segments.

Maybank IB D/G the stock to HOLD given limited upside potential.

Results lifted by better operating margin

Excluding forex gain and MYR33m fair value loss from Senada Mall and its 40%-owned Battersea Power Station (BPS) in UK, SDPR’s 4Q23 core net profit of MYR148.7m (+29% YoY, -0.4% QoQ) lifted FY23 core net profit to MYR423.3m (+35% YoY) or 13%/18% above MIBG/consensus estimates.

The stronger-than-expected 4Q23 results were boosted by better operating margin. SDPR has declared a 2nd single tier DPS of 1.5sen (YTD: 2.5sen); in line.

Balance sheet remained healthy as net gearing declined to 0.22x in end-4Q23 (0.27x in end-3Q23).

Sets MYR3b sales target for FY24

FY23 locked-in property sales of MYR3.3b accounted for 122%/97% of SDPR/MIBG’s MYR2.7b/3.4b sales goal/assumption for FY23. Of the MYR3.3b locked-in sales, 31% was derived from its industrial properties, followed by residential landed (36%) and high-rise (27%).

Contributions from high-rise jumped in 4Q23 due to more high-rise launches during the quarter. For FY24, management has set a lower sales target of MYR3b (-10% YoY), supported by MYR3.9b GDV worth of new launches (34% industrial, 32% landed properties, 31% high-rise).

Earnings adjustments

Maybank IB adjusted their FY24/25 earnings forecasts by +11%/-8.8% after factoring in: i) a sales assumption of MYR3.4b for FY24, ii) actual FY23 results and iii) changes in progress billing assumptions.

SIMPROP’s unbilled sales stood at MYR3.6b as at end-Dec 2023 (0.8x of our FY24E revenue). SIMPROP is focusing on expanding its investment property portfolio for future income sustainability.

Mayabnk IB values SIMPROP at 0.6x FY24E PBV (+0.5SD to mean).

SimeProp Forays Outside of Comfort Zone

SIMEPROP’s FY23 results beat expectations. Its FY23 core net  profit jumped 45% driven by strong sales of residential and  industrial products, which will remain its key focus in FY24.

Kenanga Investment Bank Berhad (Kenanga) raised their FY24F earnings by 9% and lifted their TP by 22% to RM0.84  (from RM0.69) but downgrade their call to MARKET PERFORM from  OUTPERFORM after the recent run-up in its share price.

Above expectations

SIMEPROP’s FY23 core net profit of RM398.2m (excluding RM9.7m reversal of provisions) beat our forecast and full year consensus estimates by 6% and 12%, respectively.

The variance against Kenanga’s forecast came largely from stronger-than-anticipated sales  of both residential and industrial products.

YoY, its FY23 revenue rose 25%, primarily driven by robust sales in  both industrial and residential sectors, coupled with enhanced on-site  progress development. Its core net profit surged by a steeper 45% as  improved efficiency in sales and marketing efforts alongside stable  administrative expenses contributed to an enhanced operating margin  at 17.6% (+1.7%), more than offset the doubling in losses from  joint ventures, primarily attributed to Battersea due to increased  operating and interest costs in the UK.

QoQ, its 4QFY23 revenue saw a decline of 4% attributed to a lumpy  land sale recognition seen in the preceding quarter.

On the flipside, operating margins were dragged by fair value adjustments during the  period, which resulted in a 16% decline in core net profit. 

The key takeaways from its results briefing are as follows:

1. It reported sales of RM3.3b in FY23, which surpassed its sales  target of RM2.7b. It has set a sales target of RM3.0b for FY24,  underpinned by SEED Homes via a JV with Lagenda, and  industrial products. Our forecasts assume higher FY24 sales of  RM3.5b as SIMEPROP tends to be conservative in its sales  targets. As at end-Dec 2023, its unbilled sales stood at RM3.6b  (vs. FY22: RM 3.6b)

2. Looking forward, SIMEPROP is expanding its product mix by  introducing more high-rise developments and industrial projects.  This initiative reflects a proactive approach to capitalize on market  demand and diversify its product offerings.

3. The losses at Battersea expanded in FY23 and there is no sign of  a swift turnaround. SIMEPROP is taking a long-term view on the  UK market as far as Battersea is concerned. The group is  presently exploring options such as revamping the Battersea team and placing greater emphasis on asset management to attract  investors and buyers. 

4. In 4QFY23, its average take-up rate of properties improved to  80% (vs 3QFY23: 70%). This was despite the introduction of high rise homes and industrial products (in addition to its bread and  butter landed homes), signalling opportunities in these segments. 

5. Its investment and asset management segment is set to expand,  with the group’s upcoming near-term projects including Elmina  Lakeside Mall in CY2024 and another in CY2025. KL East Mall,  having achieved a 90% occupancy rate and improved yield,  highlights the group’s inclination towards further expansion in this sector.

Goldman Sachs, Mubadala Ink $1 billion Private Credit Asia-Pacific Partnership Deal

Goldman Sachs and Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund Mubadala have struck a $1 billion deal, signing a seperately managed account in which the companies will co-invest in private credit in the Asia Pacific, the companies said on Monday.

The companies will jointly invest in multiple Asia Pacific markets with a particular focus on India, as part of the agreement.

“The diverse and rapidly growing economies, as well as the increasing private-equity deal volumes, are significantly driving demand in Asia Pacific for customized credit solutions from non-traditional lenders,” Omar Eraiqat, deputy CEO, Diversified Investments at Mubadala, said in a statement.

Mubadala is seeking to roughly double its exposure to Asia by as soon as 2030, according to a media report last month, citing an interview with Camilla Macapili Languille, head of the fund’s life sciences and healthcare investments division. – Reuters

Overworked And Unheard, South Korean Doctors On Mass Walkout Say

Ryu Ok Hada always wanted to help people, but now the South Korean trainee doctor has walked off the job and stands outside the hospital where he worked, holding his medical gown in his hand.

Park Dan, who recently realised his childhood dream of being an emergency physician, is also one of over 7,800 interns and residents who have resigned in a confrontation with the government, which threatens to arrest them.

Ryu and Park say the junior doctors, a crucial cog in South Korea’s highly regarded medical system, are overworked, underpaid and unheard.

Hospitals have turned away patients and cancelled surgeries after about two-thirds of the country’s young doctors walked off the job this month in protest.

The young doctors say their pay and working conditions should be the priority, rather than the government’s plan to boost the number of physicians. The authorities say more staff are needed to increase healthcare services in remote areas and meet the growing demands of one of the world’s most rapidly ageing societies.

“The current medical system in South Korea, which is a great one, is run by making cheap trainee doctors keep grinding,” Ryu, 25, told Reuters.

Senior doctors and private practitioners have not walked out but have held rallies urging the government to scrap its plan, with 400 gathering in Seoul on Sunday (Feb 25).

But the government’s plan to boost medical school admissions is popular, with about 76 per cent of respondents in favour, regardless of political affiliation, a recent Gallup Korea poll found.

TORN BETWEEN PATIENTS, POLICY

Intern and resident doctors in South Korea work 36-hour shifts, compared to shifts of less than 24 hours in the US, according to the Korean Intern Resident Association. It says half the young US physicians work 60 hours a week or less, while Korean doctors often work more than 100 hours.

Ryu said he worked more than 100 hours a week at one of the country’s most prestigious university hospitals, for 2 million won to 4 million won (US$1,500 to US$3,000) a month including overtime pay. A first-year US resident averages about $5,000 a month, according to American Medical Association data.

Hospitals have not processed the resignations of the protesting doctors, who say they are not on strike. The government has ordered them back to work, threatening to arrest them or revoke their licenses, saying their collective action cannot be justified and people’s lives must come first.

Park and other doctors say the order is unconstitutional, forcing them to work against their will.

The doctors on walkout represent just a fraction of South Korea’s 100,000 doctors, but they can make up more than 40 per cent of staff at large teaching hospitals, performing crucial tasks in emergency rooms, intensive care units and operating rooms.

Emergency rooms at South Korea’s five biggest hospitals were on “red alert” on Sunday, meaning they were running out of beds. Prime Minister Han Duck-soo said on Friday that public hospitals would stay open longer and on weekends and holidays to meet demand. – CNA