Oil prices gained about 3% on Thursday (Aug 18) as positive US economic data and robust U.S. fuel consumption offset concerns that slowing economic growth in other countries could undercut demand.
Brent futures rose US$2.94, or 3.1%, to settle at US$96.59 (RM432.14) a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose US$2.39, or 2.7%, to settle at US$90.50 (RM404.89).
Reuters cited prices rose more than 1% during the previous session, although Brent at one point fell to its lowest since February, as signs of a slowdown mounted in some places.
“Oil prices rallied after another round of impressive US economic data boosted optimism for an improving crude demand outlook,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at data and analytics firm Oanda. Moya also noted that Opec will not allow the recent pullback in oil prices to continue much further.
The new secretary general of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), Haitham Al Ghais, told Reuters that policymakers, lawmakers and insufficient oil and gas sector investments are to blame for high energy prices, not the cartel.
At its next meeting in September, Al Ghais said Opec+, which includes other oil suppliers like Russia, “could cut production, if necessary, we could add production if necessary. … It all depends on how things unfold.”
US crude stocks fell by 7.1 million barrels in the week to Aug 12, Energy Information Administration data showed, against expectations for a 275,000-barrel drop, as exports hit a record 5 million barrels per day (bpd).
Bans by the European Union on Russian oil exports could dramatically tighten supply and drive-up prices in coming months.
“The EU embargoes will force Russia to shut in around 1.6 million (bpd) of output by year-end, rising to 2 million bpd in 2023,” consultancy BCA research said in a note.
Russia, however, forecasts rising output and exports until the end of 2025, an economy ministry document seen by Reuters showed, saying revenue from energy exports will rise 38% this year, partly due to higher oil export volumes.
