Rising Interest Rates And Risk Of Foreclosures? Singapore Says Household Debt Remains Healthy

On questions raised during the parliamentary session, Monetary Authority Singapore said while borrowing costs for house owners will go up the overall mortgage market remains generally healthy.

The Central Bank said households with outstanding mortgages will see higher borrowing costs as market interest rates rise from the exceptionally low levels of the past decade. They will face the impact of the rise at different points in time, depending on the type of loan packages that they have taken up. 

As of Q2 2022, one out of three homeowners with outstanding mortgages from financial institutions (FIs) are on mortgage packages that move in tandem with market interest rates. These borrowers have already seen mortgage repayments rise over the past months. The remaining borrowers are either on rates linked to bank board rates or fixed deposit rates, which track market interest rates but with some lag, or on fixed interest rates for the first two to three years of their loan. Regardless, as rates could remain high beyond the next two to three years, all households will face higher borrowing costs than today and should therefore exercise prudence in new borrowings. 

It added, on the whole, the household debt situation in Singapore remains generally healthy. The proportion of non-performing mortgages among FI loans is low at 0.3%. In fact, the number of foreclosures has in fact trended down since 2021 and has remained low at fewer than 30 units so far this year. MAS said it does not expect widespread foreclosures in the near to medium term. This situation reflects in part the measures we have put in place over the years to limit the amount one can borrow to buy property, including our recent further tightening of the limits.

Stress tests by the financial authority suggest that most households should still be able to service their mortgages under scenarios of further interest rate hikes and significant income losses. A relatively small proportion of highly leveraged households may however be more constrained under the stress scenario.

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