Wall Street extended its rally yesterday, advancing on the day as last week’s dovish policy pivot from the Federal Reserve continued to reverberate and investors looked ahead to crucial inflation data.
Broad-based gains boosted all three major US stock indexes and nudged the S&P 500 within 1 percentage point of its all-time closing high reached in January 2022. If the benchmark index closes above that level, that would confirm it has been in a bull market since bottoming in October 2022.
The blue-chip Dow nabbed another all-time closing high.
Small-caps have had a strong run in December; the Russell 2000 led gainers, rising 1.9 per cent. The index has surged over 11.7 per cent in December so far.
“It’s Fed fumes,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird in Louisville, Kentucky. “And there’s no real catalyst at this point in the calendar year to provide any kind of downside pressure.”
“Obviously, the levels investors hold dear like bull and bear markets are important psychologically,” Mayfield said. “But what’s more important is the breadth is expanding, the momentum is there, and the economy is confirming this move.”
According to Reuters, FedEx tumbled 8 per cent in extended trade after the package delivery company cut its full-year revenue forecast as it battles United Parcel Service in what is shaping up to be a weak holiday season. UPS dropped 2.6 per cent.
At the conclusion of the central bank’s policy meeting last Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee signaled that it had reached the end of its tightening cycle and opened the door to rate cuts in the coming year.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said yesterday there was “no urgency” to begin cutting rates, given the strength of the economy and the slow rate at which inflation is cooling down toward the central bank’s 2 per cent annual target.
Even so, financial markets are pricing in a 67.5 per cent likelihood that the Fed will implement a 25 basis-point rate cut as soon as March, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
“The market is probably running ahead of the Fed a little bit and the Fed is right to throw some water on that,” Mayfield added. “But the markets aren’t really buying it and the Fed is not doing much to change the narrative.”
According to Reuters, on the economic front, a report from the Commerce Department showed groundbreaking on new single-family homes surged 18 per cent to more than a 1-1/2 year high in November.
The S&P 1500 Homebuilding index and the Philadelphia SE Housing index advanced 1.6 per cent and 1.2 per cent, respectively.
The Commerce Department is expected to release its final take on third-quarter GDP tomorrow, to be followed by its broad-ranging Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report on Friday, which will cover income growth, consumer spending, and crucially, inflation.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 251.9 points, or 0.68 per cent, to 37,557.92, the S&P 500 gained 27.81 points, or 0.59 per cent, to 4,768.37 and the Nasdaq Composite added 98.03 points, or 0.66 per cent, to 15,003.22.
All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 ended the session in positive territory, with energy and communication services enjoying the largest percentage gains.
Boeing rose 1.2 per cent after German airline Lufthansa revealed it ordered 40 737-8 MAX jets from the planemaker.
Kenvue climbed 2.2 per cent following a US court ruling in favour of the consumer health company in a lawsuit over the company’s drug Tylenol.
Amgen advanced 1.1 per cent after BMO upgraded the company’s shares to “outperform” from “market perform.”
Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.68-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.85-to-1 ratio favoured advancers.
The S&P 500 posted 48 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 200 new highs and 82 new lows.
Volume on US exchanges was 11.61 billion shares, compared with the 11.97 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days. – Reuters
